Remove Battery Remove Coal Remove Gasoline Remove Oil Prices
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Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

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Under their optimistic scenario (OPT)—which is based on the assumption that EVs are market-competitive with gasoline vehicles, in particular after 2025—they find 15% and 47% adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2030 and 2050, respectively.

Emissions 150
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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Among the more detailed transportation projections in AEO2014 are: LDVs powered by gasoline remain the dominant vehicle type in the AEO2014 Reference case, retaining a 78% share of new LDV sales in 2040, down from their 82% share in 2012. Natural gas overtakes coal as the largest fuel for US electricity generation. Tcf in 2012 to 2.1

Oil 290
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BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

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BCG’s analysis finds that cellulosic ethanol is on the verge of becoming cost-competitive with gasoline at $3/gal US. Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost. Cleaner coal through carbon capture and sequestration.

Solar 295
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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. Sales of battery-powered electric vehicles are 65% lower in the AEO2013 Reference case than the year before, with annual sales in 2035 estimated to be about 119,000. Domestic oil production will rise to 7.5 Motor gasoline consumption will be less than previously estimated.

Fuel 225
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EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

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Among the transportation-related updates going into AEO2011, the EIA increased the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10% to 15%, as a result of the waiver granted by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010. Industrial natural gas demand recovers, reversing recent trend.

Gas 199
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VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

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The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. VW, Daimler subsidiary Daug and Varta developed a NimH battery in the early 90s, and the VW group put the Audi duo hybrid on the road in 1997. Does it ever make sense ecologically to operate a car with power from a coal-fired plant?

2013 150
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Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

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Second, PHEVs with smaller battery packs are more likely to deliver emissions benefits and reduced gasoline consumption at lower lifetime cost compared to those with large battery packs in the short term. No EDV deployment occurs with high battery costs, low oil prices, and no CO 2 policy.

Emissions 236