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Study finds behavior-influencing policies remain critical for mass market success of low-carbon vehicles

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More than 90% of such vehicles are powered by internal combustion engines burning oil-derived fuels. Encouraging the use of low-carbon alternatives is an essential part of meeting climate change targets as well as improving local air quality and health. Note the different scaling used in the graphs. McCollum et al.

Carbon 231
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Belfer Center Study Concludes Reducing Car and Truck GHG Emissions Will Require Substantially Higher Fuel Prices; Income Tax Credits for Advanced Alt Fuel Vehicles Are Essentially Ineffective at Reducing Sector Emissions

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The study— Analysis of Policies to Reduce Oil Consumption and Greenhouse-Gas Emissions from the US Transportation Sector —finds that reducing CO 2 emissions from the transportation sector 14% below 2005 levels by 2020 may require fuel prices above $8/gallon by 2020. —Morrow et al.

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Obama climate plan calls for new fuel economy standards for heavy-duty vehicles post-2018; cleaner fuels and investment in advanced fossil energy

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Preparing the US for the impacts of climate change. The Better Buildings Challenge targets helping American commercial and industrial buildings becoming at least 20% more energy efficient by 2020. of greenhouse gas emissions to 3% by 2020. Preparing the US for the impacts of climate change.

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Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

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EU climate policy aims to limit the global mean temperature increase from anthropogenic climate change to below 2 °C. The EU has also made a commitment to reduce emissions in sectors outside the EU ETS, including transportation, by 10% on year-2005 levels by 2020. R&D plus fuel cell electric vehicle subsidy.

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IEA technology and policy reports outline paths to halving fuel used for combustion-engined road transport in less than 40 years

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The policy package includes a new fuel economy readiness index, which measures the extent to which countries have implemented steps that will fully exploit the potential of existing fuel economy technologies and maximise their use in vehicles. Increase international collaboration on fuel economy. Policy package.

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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

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In addition, although many experts say that the solution to our energy and climate problems is sending the correct price signals to industry and consumers, the transport sector’s behavior is highly inelastic in that it does not change significantly in response to changes in fuel prices, at least in the range that is politically acceptable.

2018 257
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MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

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The market for pure BEVs is likely to be limited because their inherently limited driving range and long recharging times, and their high cost, make them less attractive to purchasers looking for an all-purpose vehicle. BP, Chevron, Concawe, the Department of Energy U.S.-China

MIT 150