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Opinion: Everyone Is Guessing When It Comes To Oil Prices

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Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oil prices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.

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IHS Automotive forecasts 88.6M unit global light vehicle market in 2015; 2.4% growth

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IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 For the APAC region in 2015, IHS forecasts that China’s economic growth will decelerate further, to 6.5% However, IHS Automotive analysts still expect light vehicle sales in China to grow by 7% in 2015 to 25.2 million, an increase of 2.4% North America.

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US average retail gasoline prices ended 2017 lower than they started

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However, a rapid price decline beginning in October led to US average regular gasoline prices ending the year lower than they began for the first time since 2015, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). In 5 of the 10 cities for which EIA collects weekly retail price data, gasoline prices exceeded $3.00/gal

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US DOE progress report says 1M plug-ins by 2015 ambitious but achievable; not likely to be constrained by production capacity

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The US Department of Energy (DOE) has released One Million Electric Vehicles by 2015 , a short status report on advances in deployment and progress to date in meeting President Obama’s goal of putting one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) on the road by 2015. Estimated US supply of PEVs from 2011-2015. Ford Focus EV.

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Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

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million by 2015 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28% (2010-2015), according to the report. China alone will experience a CAGR of 76% to reach 554,114 unit sales of all electrified vehicles by 2015, and will represent 53% of total regional sales. billion in 2015. By 2015, Bae expects that a total of 2.6

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Opinion: Saudis Planning For A War Of Attrition In Europe With Russia’s Oil Industry

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Russia’s central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. Russia sends 70 percent of its oil to Europe, but Saudi Arabia has been making inroads in the European market amid the oil price downturn.

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Opinion: Expect A Wave Of Consolidation In The Oil Industry

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The point is, with volumes languishing (and probably poised to decline) tied to a flat oil futures price curve and with economics marginal at $60 per barrel, many E&P operators find themselves running through hedges in 2015 and still in need to finance their already reduced capital spending.

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