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Mayor of London expanding Ultra Low Emission Zone London-wide; new £110M scrappage scheme

Green Car Congress

Among other improvements, the expansion is forecast to make further progress to reduce air pollution, by reducing NO x emissions from cars and vans in outer London by 10% and 7% respectively, and reducing PM 2.5 car exhaust emissions in outer London by nearly 16%, benefitting five million outer London residents. Expanded ULEZ in August 2023.

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IHS: average age of vehicles on the road in US steady at 11.4 years; scrappage rate declining

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In addition, new vehicle registrations outpaced scrappage by more than 24% for the first time in a decade, according to the analysis. Looking ahead, IHS forecasts that average age of vehicles is likely to remain at 11.4 million (1.5 percent) since last year. years through 2015, then rise to 11.5 years by 2017 and 11.7 years by 2019.

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Polk forecasts global new vehicle auto sales to reach 77.7M in 2012, up 6.7%; expects China sales to grow 16% while US sales recovery slows

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Polk forecast, millions of units. Global automotive market intelligence firm Polk forecasts worldwide new vehicle sales in 2012 will rise 6.7% —Anthony Pratt, director of forecasting for the Americas at Polk. Click to enlarge. over 2011 volumes to 77.7 million vehicles.

2012 199
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IHS cuts 2015 light vehicle sales forecast in China to 23.4 million; deeper cut for 2016

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IHS revised downward its forecast for light vehicle sales in China, projecting a decline of 3 to 4 percent from previous estimates for 2015. IHS Automotive has reduced its full year 2015 light vehicle sales forecast for China to 23.4 percent, compared with its previous forecast of 4.4 percent year-over-year growth.

2016 150
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IHS Automotive forecasts 88.6M unit global light vehicle market in 2015; 2.4% growth

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IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 For the APAC region in 2015, IHS forecasts that China’s economic growth will decelerate further, to 6.5% million units, aided with increased auto finance penetration, fast dealership expansion and government vehicle scrappage programs. million units.

2015 150
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IHS Markit: average age of cars and light trucks in US rises to 12.1 years

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COVID-19 and its impact across the US caused a reduction in new vehicle sales as well as a sudden increase in vehicle scrappage, which was a catalyst for increased velocity in the growth of the average age of light vehicles. million according to current forecasts, which can be expected to mute average age growth.

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UMTRI study finds US and China could turnover more than 90% of LDV fleet to alternative powertrains by 2050 under very aggressive penetration scenarios

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Production forecasts from IHS. very aggressive model of penetration; Establish vehicles-in-use, scrappage, and sales estimates for vehicles in the fleet using the old technology/fuels and vehicles using the alternative powertrains/fuels; and. For 2020 to 2050, the UMTRI team then used their knowledge of past and current country.

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