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GFEI report suggests $2T savings from fuel economy improvements in ICE vehicles through 2025 can help fund long-term transition to plug-ins

Green Car Congress

Plug-in electric vehicles are promising and sales have started, but it will take time to reach very large volumes, and will likely require strong incentives over the coming decade to reach a fully competitive point. carbon fuel vehicles will be needed to continue to decarbonize LDVs and reduce oil use out to 2050 and beyond.

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Study finds behavior-influencing policies remain critical for mass market success of low-carbon vehicles

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Encouraging the use of low-carbon alternatives is an essential part of meeting climate change targets as well as improving local air quality and health. Global, economy-wide carbon pricing is assumed as climate policy in both scenarios after 2020 (100 US$ per tCO 2 held constant over time). —McCollum et al. McCollum et al.

Carbon 231
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Belfer Center Study Concludes Reducing Car and Truck GHG Emissions Will Require Substantially Higher Fuel Prices; Income Tax Credits for Advanced Alt Fuel Vehicles Are Essentially Ineffective at Reducing Sector Emissions

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A new study from the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs finds that reducing greenhouse gas emissions from transportation will be a much bigger challenge than many assume, and will require substantially higher fuel prices combined with more stringent regulations. Source: Morrow et al.

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Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

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EU climate policy aims to limit the global mean temperature increase from anthropogenic climate change to below 2 °C. EU climate policy aims to limit the global mean temperature increase from anthropogenic climate change to below 2 °C. The horizontal lines indicate 60% reduction from year-1990 levels.

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IEA technology and policy reports outline paths to halving fuel used for combustion-engined road transport in less than 40 years

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New propulsion systems requiring new fuels, such as plug-in electric vehicle systems and fuel cell systems, are beyond the scope of this technology roadmap and are treated in separate roadmaps. Average fuel economy and new vehicles registrations, 2005 and 2008. Source: Technology roadmap. Technology Roadmap.

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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

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Among the proposed changes were additional production lead time; a reduced compliance obligation (i.e., Among the proposed changes were additional production lead time; a reduced compliance obligation (i.e., Earlier post.). by about 1.9%. by about 1.9%. For MY 2026 and following, the reduced compliance obligation goes away.).

2018 257
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MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

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There are many options available for reducing the fuel, energy, and GHG emissions impacts of LDVs. Achieving our overall goal—reducing fleet fuel and energy consumption and GHGs by three-quarters or more—will be extremely challenging. Includes vehicle weight reduction: at constant acceleration capability.

MIT 150