Carbon, Oil Prices, PHEV and Plug-in

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

NRC projections of number of PHEVs in the US light-duty fleet. Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC). Click to enlarge.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 21, 2015

vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6 It will also be due to the continued drive to reduce carbon emissions and improve vehicle fuel economy in the major developed vehicle markets. million vehicle sales in 2015 to more than 6.0 million in 2024.

Light

Light Sale Global Oil Prices

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

Such economic benefits could be realized earlier through effective policies which reduce first mover costs in the short term and promote rapid take-up once non-ICE vehicle price premiums reduce to levels that make them affordable to. Modelled vehicle sales per year in Scenario 3. Source: AECOM. Click to enlarge. However, by testing different.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs. The US Energy Information Administration released its Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) Reference case (the Early Release ), which highlights a growth in total US energy production that exceeds growth in total US energy consumption through 2040. quadrillion Btu in 2011 to 14.0

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

A new study sponsored by Indiana University concludes that President Obama’s vision of one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) on US roads by 2015 will require concentrated efforts action from all stakeholders— the auto industry, federal government, the scientific community, and consumers—to be realized.

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

A new study by consultancy Roland Berger defines an integrated roadmap for European road transport decarbonization to 2030 and beyond; the current regulatory framework for vehicle emissions, carbon intensity of fuels and use of renewable fuels covers only up to 2020/2021. BEVs fueled with low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC).

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 16, 2010

Two key drivers of EV adoption include climate concerns and oil prices. The potential for reducing carbon emissions by electrifying transportation has caught the attention of local and national government officials across Asia-Pacific due to concerns about the contribution of transportation emissions to climate change.

Asia

Asia 2015 China Sale

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Getting more miles per gallon out of conventional vehicles achieves the same end-goals of lowering carbon emissions and increasing energy security as the movement toward the electrification of transport. Next-generation agriculture. Waste-to-fuel.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in the US. Electrification will reduce emissions, with the scale determined by the carbon intensity of the power sector. Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oil prices and oil price volatility.

Transportation

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 28, 2011

In the transportation sector, DOE will focus on technologies that significantly reduce oil consumption and diversify fuel sources for on-road transportation. Furthermore, DOE will only support technologies that emit less carbon than incumbents—in keeping with our national energy goals.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Economy Light Fuel

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

As one example of factors contributing to that decision, a survey of projected oil prices returned values between $30 and $250 a barrel, he said.). Dividing that forecast in to application segments—micro-, mild-, full-, and plug-in hybrids; mini-electric (e.g., PHEVs and EREVs require $7/gallon. Click to enlarge.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

Compare GHG emissions and costs of PHEV and BPEV with those of regular cars. that gasoline engine-generators in SHEVs and PHEVs have the same efficiency relative to diesel. There are three main aspects to this analysis: Determine the effect of EV charging patterns on household and total electricity demand. —van Vliet et al.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

Second, PHEVs with smaller battery packs are more likely to deliver emissions benefits and reduced gasoline consumption at lower lifetime cost compared to those with large battery packs in the short term. Fourth, CO 2 prices as high as 100 $/t do not provide sufficient incentive for vehicle electrification. —Babaee et al.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Cleantech Blog Cleantechblog.com, the premier cleantech site for commentary on news and technology relating to clean tech, greentech, energy, climate change and carbon, and the environment. Cleantech Crunched Top 10 Low Carbon Footprint Cars (and one SUV) for. Tree Planting as Carbon Offsets – Does Latitude Ma.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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