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Opinion: Everyone Is Guessing When It Comes To Oil Prices

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Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oil prices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.

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Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

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In a new report, Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts , Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (i.e., million vehicle sales in 2015 to more than 6.0 vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6

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CAR: US light-duty vehicle sales to dip in 2019

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US Light Vehicle Sales, 2015-2018, and CAR’s Forecast, 2019-2025. Potential impact of trade negotiations with China, Japan, EU, and UK. CAR projects sales to rebound to 16.8 million units by 2022 and continue an upward trend through 2025.

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3 Years Of Painful Cuts Sets Oil Markets Up For Serious Supply Crunch

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Total global oil production could decline for the next several years in a row as scarce new sources of supply come online. According to data from Rystad Energy, overall global oil output will fall this year as natural depletion overwhelms all new sources of supply. When oil prices go up, people buy fuel efficient cars.

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IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

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The global energy map is changing significantly, according to the 2012 edition of the Internal Energy Agency’s (IEA) World Energy Outlook ( WEO-2012 ). The IEA said these changes will recast expectations about the role of different countries, regions and fuels in the global energy system over the coming decades.

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. An explosion of hybrid sales in Japan. Click to enlarge.

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Saudis Expand Price War Downstream

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The undisputed king of oil and gas is making some moves that could change the face of the global refining sector. In June 2015, Saudi Arabia pumped a record 10.564 million barrels a day, a record level. Is Saudi Arabia likely to win a potential price war against Asian producers of diesel? “We