2009, Battery, Light and Oil Prices

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

EV penetration with a battery swap model in three scenarios. Becker (2009). In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Becker (2009).

Electric Cars

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

Transportation

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Beyond 2020, CAFE standards for both passenger cars and light-duty trucks are held constant.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

Representative battery pack size is below each segment. In the near-term (2011), lithium-ion batteries could grow to represent about 21% of the hybrid and EV advanced battery market, according to Dr. Menahem Anderman, President of Advanced Automotive Batteries and the organizer of last week’s Advanced Automotive Battery Conference 2009.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

Green Car Congress

APRIL 10, 2009

A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oil prices.

Oil

Oil Standards Price Oil Prices

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

The Electrification Coalition (EC) has released a long-term macroeconomic analysis of the policy proposals put forward in its November 2009 Electrification Roadmap ( earlier post ). By 2040, the report proposed, 75% of the light-duty vehicle miles traveled in the US should be electric miles. Global Demand for Oil. Trade Deficit.

Grid

Grid Vehicles 2008 Oil

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

The report, Economic Viability of Electric Vehicles , was originally published in September 2009, and has been made available online. Vehicle size was considered important because prices and availability of vehicles will vary significantly between vehicle sizes. It also has the potential to create competition issues.

Australia

Australia Market Plug-in Plug

Andy Grove: The U.S. must create an electric car industry - Apr. 17, 2009

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 19, 2009

News | Markets | Technology | Personal Finance | Small Business | CNN.com RSS Newsletters Video Home Fortune 500 Technology Investing Management Rankings Andy Grove on battery power To wean itself from imported oil, the U.S. car industry hinges on cutting-edge battery technology. must create a strong electric car industry.

2009

2009 Industrial Industry Electric Cars

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 14, 2009

Bubble chart of plausible mainstream PHEV buyers’ battery requirements (light and dark gray circles) and experts’s requirements overlaid on a Ragone plot of NiMH and Li-ion batteries. Based on the game results, battery pack requirements would be equal to or less than 2 kWh. Source: Ken Kurani. times as much.

PHEV

PHEV Fuel Economy San Diego Climate Change

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

Revenge of the Electric Car

JANUARY 21, 2009

Paine was one of the first to lease a General Motors EV1 in 1997 — only to get the car wrenched away from him five years later when he took it in simply to get a brake light fixed. January 2009 | Conversations The Electric Car Returns (and This Time It’s Personal). But now, gas prices have fallen below $2 in some places.

EV1

EV1 Los Angeles Hydrogen GM

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Although the recovery in the world economy since 2009 has been uneven, and future economic prospects remain uncertain, global primary energy demand rebounded by a remarkable 5% in 2010, pushing CO 2 emissions to a new high. Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

JULY 14, 2009

Those who make the decisions to forgo battery EVs in favor of plug- in hybrids only ignore a sizable market. Hans Greimel Automotive News July 6, 2009 - 12:01 am ET. That bet takes shape at a new lithium ion battery plant and at an electric-vehicle assembly line that Nissan will build at its Smyrna, Tenn., Oil vs. electrons.

Nissan

Nissan Japan United States Gasoline-Electric

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Blog Archive ▼ 2009 (52) ▼ April (6) Waxman-Markey and REDD BlogRoll Review: Space Beams, Leaded Batteries, an. Several early models of passenger vehicles have enough energy stored in advanced batteries to power several homes for hours. Project Better Place plans to deploy a massive network of battery charging spots.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Andy Grove: The U.S. must create an electric car industry - Apr. 17, 2009

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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