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Today’s Stunted Oil Prices Could Cause Oil Price Shock In 2020

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As oil prices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. In a speech made at the Association of International Petroleum Negotiators’ 2017 International Petroleum Summit, Johnston laid out his concerns for the future of oil.

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Saudi Arabia And Iran Reignite The Oil Price War

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The rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran is becoming increasingly evident in the oil pricing policies of the two large Middle Eastern producers. The two countries are currently reigniting the market share and pricing war ahead of the returning U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil. by Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com.

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Opinion: The Saudi Oil Price War Is Backfiring

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Saudi Arabia has long enjoyed the status of being the top crude oil exporter in the world. With record production of 10.564 million barrels per day in June 2015, Saudi Arabia has been one of the major driving forces behind the current oil price slump. This could eventually result in refiners cutting their crude oil imports.

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IHS Automotive forecasts 88.6M unit global light vehicle market in 2015; 2.4% growth

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However, IHS Automotive analysts still expect light vehicle sales in China to grow by 7% in 2015 to 25.2 The campaign is expected to have a long-lasting effect on premium parts/vehicle prices in China. —Lin Huaibin, manager, China light vehicle sales forecast, IHS Automotive. North America. from last year. million units.

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Opinion: How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out?

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However, OPEC has been in the line of fire from the western world in light of its stance of not reducing the production levels of its member nations (excluding Iran). With the decline of average annual crude prices, OPEC earned around $730 billion in net oil export revenues in 2014 (Source: EIA), a big decline of 11% from its previous year.

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EIA projects world energy use to increase 53% by 2035; oil sands/bitumen and biofuels account for 70% of the increase in unconventional liquid fuels

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Worldwide energy consumption will grow by 53% between 2008 and 2035 with much of the increase driven by strong economic growth in the developing nations, especially China and India, according to the reference case in the newly released International Energy Outlook 2011 (IEO2011) from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Energy consumption by light-duty vehicles in the United States, AEO2013 and AEO2014, 1995-2040 (quadrillion Btu). Natural gas prices significantly increase the demand for LNG and compressed natural gas in AEO2014 , from an insignificant share in 2012 to 8% of HDV energy consumption in 2040. quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 12.1 Source: EIA.

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