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Belfer Center Study Concludes Reducing Car and Truck GHG Emissions Will Require Substantially Higher Fuel Prices; Income Tax Credits for Advanced Alt Fuel Vehicles Are Essentially Ineffective at Reducing Sector Emissions

Green Car Congress

A new study from the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs finds that reducing greenhouse gas emissions from transportation will be a much bigger challenge than many assume, and will require substantially higher fuel prices combined with more stringent regulations. —Morrow et al.

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Study finds behavior-influencing policies remain critical for mass market success of low-carbon vehicles

Green Car Congress

Our analysis shows that a diverse set of measures targeting vehicle buyers is necessary to drive widespread adoption of clean technologies. More than 90% of such vehicles are powered by internal combustion engines burning oil-derived fuels. Note the different scaling used in the graphs. McCollum et al. Click to enlarge.

Carbon 231
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BCG study finds conventional automotive technologies have high CO2 reduction potential at lower cost; stiff competition for electric cars

Green Car Congress

Based on our current projections, the well-to-wheel emissions advantage of EVs over ICE-propelled vehicles, currently estimated at 40 to 60 percent, will fall to 30 to 50 percent in 2020 as advances in ICE technologies narrow the gap and power generation from clean non-fossil fuels continues to grow slowly in most regions. Source: BCG.

CO2 246
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Sen. Baucus draft for energy tax reform focuses on clean production of electricity and fuels; repeals plug-in vehicle credits

Green Car Congress

introduced the latest in a series of discussion drafts to overhaul the US tax code. This new staff discussion draft focuses energy tax policy on stimulating domestic, clean production of electricity and transportation fuels, which account for 68% of energy consumed in the US. Clean fuels tax credit.

Tax 281
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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

Green Car Congress

The ZEV regulations, which are now part of California’s comprehensive Advanced Clean Cars (ACC) program which also includes the LEV III tailpipe emissions standard, is the “technology-forcing piece” of the state’s regulatory package for light-duty vehicles. Could another policy have accomplished the same at less cost with less conflict?

2018 257
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UC report to CalEPA outlines policy options to decarbonize California transportation by 2045

Green Car Congress

Transportation pricing: Gasoline taxes. Shift to VMT-based road fees as the number of ZEVs grows and fuel tax revenues decline. Shifting toward low-carbon clean energy requires major investments in electricity and hydrogen. Transit-oriented development/densification. Active transportation. Parking pricing policies.