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Obama climate plan calls for new fuel economy standards for heavy-duty vehicles post-2018; cleaner fuels and investment in advanced fossil energy

Green Car Congress

Among the transportation-related elements of US President Barack Obama’s new climate action plan, which he is outlining today in a speech at Georgetown University, is the development of new fuel economy standards for heavy-duty vehicles post-2018. New energy efficiency standards. Earlier post.).

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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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new appliance standards and CAFE) and changes in the way energy is used in the US economy. Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles.

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EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

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Specifically, AEO2019 projects that: Increases in fuel economy standards temper growth in US motor gasoline consumption, which decreases by 26% between 2018 and 2050. However, US coal shipments, which are primarily via rail, decline slightly. million, or about 8% of projected total vehicle sales in the Reference case.

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IEA: improving efficiency of road-freight transport critical to reduce oil-demand growth; three areas of focus

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Although trucks are a major contributor to the growth in transport-fuel consumption and emissions, the sector receives far less attention and policy focus than passenger vehicles, the IEA noted. Only four countries have energy-efficiency standards for heavy trucks, compared with some 40 countries with passenger-vehicle standards.

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President’s Jobs Council recommends an “All-in” energy strategy; from fossil fuels and pipelines, to efficiency, renewables and vehicle electrification

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The council recommended: Allowing more access to oil, natural gas and coal opportunities on federal lands. To stretch our domestic resources, the United States should continue to promote energy- and fuel-efficiency measures. —“Road Map to Renewal”. All levels of government can encourage home energy testing.

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NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

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Projected rates of fuel consumption improvement under different scenarios relative to past experience and the 2016 and 2025 CAFE standards. In addition, alternative fuels to petroleum must be readily available, cost-effective and produced with low emissions of greenhouse gases. Source: NRC. Click to enlarge.

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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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Fuel economy standards and changing driver behavior keep motor gasoline consumption below recent levels through 2040 in the Reference case. quadrillion Btu—as a result of increases in demand for personal travel and movement of goods that outstripped gains in fuel efficiency. Diesel remains the most widely used HDV fuel.

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