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IHS Automotive forecasts 88.6M unit global light vehicle market in 2015; 2.4% growth

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over 2014, continuing an unbroken five-year run of sales recovery and growth from the low point set in the depth of the Great Recession in 2009. However, IHS Automotive analysts still expect light vehicle sales in China to grow by 7% in 2015 to 25.2 —Lin Huaibin, manager, China light vehicle sales forecast, IHS Automotive.

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Global biofuels production up 17% in 2010 to hit all-time high of 105 billion liters

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Global production of biofuels increased 17% in 2010 to reach an all-time high of 105 billion liters (28 billion gallons US), up from 90 billion liters (24 billion gallons US) in 2009. of all global fuel for road transportation—an increase from 2% in 2009, according to the report. billion liters abroad, a 300% increase over 2009.

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth.

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EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

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The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Beyond 2020, CAFE standards for both passenger cars and light-duty trucks are held constant.

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Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

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A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oil prices.

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UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

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Becker (2009). In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Becker (2009). Becker (2009). EV penetration with a battery swap model in three scenarios.

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Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

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Bubble chart of plausible mainstream PHEV buyers’ battery requirements (light and dark gray circles) and experts’s requirements overlaid on a Ragone plot of NiMH and Li-ion batteries. the first time in your entire lives you’ve ever heard the EPA and the OEMs agree on something: tax the fuel. Tax the fuel.”

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