$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

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OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion. Article Source: [link].

The 5 Countries That Could Push Oil Prices Up

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Oil prices appear to be stuck in the $50s per barrel, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t serious supply risks to the market. An unexpected disruption could occur at any moment, as has happened in the past, leading to a sudden and sharp jump in prices. Geopolitical tension has been largely irrelevant since the collapse of oil prices in 2014, but it’s making a return now that cracks have emerged in some key oil-producing nations. Market Background Oil

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The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry

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Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the one hand, there is the view that the price of oil will be “ lower for longer ”, or even “ lower forever ”, as the electrification of transport will eat away at oil demand more and more while, at the same time, technological innovation ( shale in particular ) will greatly increase economically recoverable resources. Link to original article: [link].

Today’s Stunted Oil Prices Could Cause Oil Price Shock In 2020

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As oil prices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. As Saudi Arabia announces plans to slash production and move their economy away from oil dependency, many industry insiders are predicting that the now over-saturated market will reach an equilibrium with higher commodity prices by 2018 and U.S. oil may not be able to fill. Link to original article: [link].

Increase in US rig count will not cap oil prices

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The impact of rising oil prices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oil prices.

Oil Well Strippers Suffering From Low Oil Prices

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With OPEC breaking down and any kind of coordination among its members on price cuts looking increasingly unlikely, it now appears that oil prices could remain below $50 a barrel for a year or more. A stripper is a small operator of very old oil wells that frequently produce less than five barrels per day of oil. billion barrels of oil and 18.8 percent of the US oil output, so they are a non-trivial source of US production. Article Source: [link].

Opinion: This Is What Needs To Happen For Oil Prices To Stabilize

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On September 10 th , the EIA reported a production decline in the Lower 48—essentially shale production—of 208,000 BOPD (barrels of oil per day). Rather, Goldman Sachs was grabbing all the headlines with its $20 call on oil. Shale oil wells lose a lot of production up front, maybe 70 percent in the first year before tapering off at a 5 to 10 percent annual decline over the next few years until leveling off for the life of the well—maybe 20 years or so out.

The “Amazon Effect” Is Coming To Oil Markets

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While OPEC mulls over further steps to once again support falling oil prices, tech startups are quietly ushering in a new era in oil and gas: the era of the digital oil field. Mills , believe we are on the verge of an oil industry transformation of proportions identical to the transformation that Amazon prompted in retail. The Internet of Things is entering oil and gas, and so are analytics and artificial intelligence. Link to original article: [link].

Researchers show mixotrophic fermentation process improves carbon conversion, boosting yields and reducing CO2

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The production costs for most chemicals via microbial fermentation are currently high compared to oil-derived products primarily because of operating costs associated with feedstock and feedstock processing.

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Oil Jobs Lost: 250,000 And Counting; Texas Likely To See Massive Layoffs Soon

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Crude oil just capped off a third straight week of declines, as WTI nears the $40 per barrel threshold. Goldman Sachs is once again raising the possibility of oil dipping into the $20s per barrel. an industry consultant, oil and gas companies have laid off more than 250,000 workers around the world, a tally that will rise if oil prices remain in the dumps. “I Still, upstream E&P companies are also being substantially squeezed by another plunge in oil prices.

3 Years Of Painful Cuts Sets Oil Markets Up For Serious Supply Crunch

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Total global oil production could decline for the next several years in a row as scarce new sources of supply come online. According to data from Rystad Energy, overall global oil output will fall this year as natural depletion overwhelms all new sources of supply. It might be that we see quite a dramatic reduction in replacing the capacity and of course that will have an impact, eventually, on price.”. A sharp rise in oil prices would spur new investment and new drilling.

Global biofuels production up 17% in 2010 to hit all-time high of 105 billion liters

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In the United States, the record production of biofuels is attributed in part to high oil prices, which encouraged several large fuel companies, including Sunoco, Valero, Flint Hills, and Murphy Oil, to enter the ethanol industry.

When Will Russia Run Out Of Oil?

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On a global level, 2015 and 2016 marked the lowest level of new conventional oil discoveries since 1952. billion barrels of conventional oil were discovered, roughly 45 days of global crude consumption or 0.2 When will Russia run out of oil? Link to original article: [link].

Day Of Reckoning For US Shale Will Have To Wait

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It may just delay the adjustment for oil markets. “It We think that banks are generally giving producers more time to improve financial health and that spring ‘16 redeterminations could be much tougher without significant commodity price improvement,” said Jonathan Wolff, an analyst with Jeffries, according to SNL. Maintaining access to finance can come at a price. The ratings agency cut its forecasted oil price for 2016 to just $48 per barrel.

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Supply Crunch Or Oil Glut: Investment Banks Can’t Agree

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shale has thrown in another unknown in the mix of factors driving the price of oil. This year, shale output forecasts combine with OPEC’s production cuts, geopolitical factors, and unexpected outages to further complicate supply/demand and oil price forecasts by Wall Street’s major investment banks. But analyst projections about oil global supply and demand are increasingly diverging, because expectations of the combined effects of OPEC’s cuts, U.S.

US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

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Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. Even when US oil production hit a peak at 9.7 By 2016, oil companies large and small had shed a lot of that extra fat, running leaner than at any point in the last few years.

Opinion: The Shale Delusion: Why The Party’s Over For US Tight Oil

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The party is over for tight oil. Despite brash statements by US producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies. the latest price rout could stop US growth in its tracks.”. OPEC and US crude oil production.

OPEC’s Output Freeze: What Has Changed Since Doha?

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The official chatter is that the OPEC meeting in Algeria from September 26 to 28 could conclude with an agreement to freeze production by the member nations, with even Russia joining forces in a freeze that may prevent further oil price erosion. What about the shale oil producers?

What Does The Next OPEC Meeting Have In Store?

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The 2 June 2016 OPEC meeting will be held amid a backdrop of oil prices near $50 per barrel, a sharp drop in Nigerian production due to sabotage, turmoil in Venezuela, Saudi Arabia operating with a new oil minister, and Iran aggressively pumping close to pre-sanction levels. The Prince outlined his strategy in “Vision 2030”, and a major step in that direction is the listing of the state-owned oil company Aramco. Link to original article: [link].

Is A Second OPEC Cut In The Cards?

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OPEC’s coordinated effort to curtail global supply has so far managed to put a floor under oil prices, which have been sitting modestly above US$50 since the deal was announced at the end of November last year. Analysts and experts are now mostly predicting that oil prices will remain below US$60 this year. A key upside driver for prices would be an extension of the OPEC deal beyond its original expiry date at the end of June. Link to original article: [link].

Petrobras says it is expanding oil and gas production in the pre-salt in “economically viable” manner

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Responding to press articles saying that the collapse of the global oil price is threatening oil and gas production in the off-shore Brazil pre-salt layer, Petrobras countered that it is expanding its production capacity “in an economically viable manner.” On Tuesday, 6 January, the price for WTI crude closed at $47.93/bbl, while Brent crude closed at $51.10.

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Opinion: Stop Blaming OPEC For Low Prices

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OPEC altered the course of the oil markets last year when it decided to cast aside its traditional role of maintaining balance through production cuts. Instead it pursued a strategy of fighting for market share, contributing to an immediate rout in oil prices.

Oil Majors’ Costs Have Risen 66% Since 2011

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The oil majors reported poor earnings for the fourth quarter of last year, but many oil executives struck an optimistic tone about the road ahead. The collapse of oil prices forced the majors to slash spending on exploration, cut employees, defer projects, and look for efficiencies.

Why Wall Street is throwing billions at the Permian

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The collapse of oil prices has ground shale drilling to a halt, but the one region where drilling is still active, and even increasing, is in West Texas. The Permian Basin is one of the last profitable areas to still drill with sub-$50 oil, and as other regions fall by the wayside, an increasing portion of drilling activity and spare investment dollars are flowing into the Permian. 8 article , QEP Resources paid $60,000 an acre to an undisclosed owner in June.

The Oil War Is Only Just Getting Started

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The Oil War Is Only Just Getting Started. It’s been a month now that investors and analysts have been closely watching two main drivers for oil prices: how OPEC is doing with the supply-cut deal, and how US shale is responding to fifty-plus-dollar oil with rebounding drilling activity. Those two main factors are largely neutralizing each other, and are putting a floor and a cap to a price range of between $50 and $60. Link to original article: [link].

The Real Reason for USA based Economic Recessions.

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The True Cause of Recessions: OIL. I was asked to speak about the economic impact of our oil dependency and so I began researching this topic to see if I could draw some insightful conclusions. There have been 5 recession since then until now and I wanted to see if Oil had anything to do with them, because deep in my heart, I knew the most recent recession was directly caused by the oil price spikes that started in 2007 and peaked in 2008.

$67 Oil Has All The Majors Converging in Argentina

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Argentina offers one of the few places on earth where oil companies are not suffering from the full force of the collapse in prices. Argentina regulates oil prices, a policy originally intended to insulate the public from the whims of the market, protecting people from triple-digit crude prices. But with the crash in prices since mid-2014, the effect of the regulation has reversed: motorists are now effectively subsidizing the oil industry.

The Next Big Offshore Boom Is About To Happen in Brazil

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Say what you will about offshore oil and gas exploration, but it’s still alive and kicking—high production costs and all. The latest demonstration of the viability of deepwater projects, even in the post-2014 oil industry era, comes from none other than Brazil. On Wednesday, the country’s National Petroleum Agency put 287 oil and gas blocks up for auction, and only 37 found buyers. Some Big Oil majors are already in Brazil, including Statoil, Shell, and Total.

Oil Industry Faces Huge Worker Shortage

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The rig count has rebounded from the lows seen in late May, a small indication that oil companies in the US could begin drilling anew. Because of this, the collective US shale industry has been likened to the new “swing producer”: low oil prices force quick cutbacks but higher prices trigger new supplies. An estimated 350,000 workers have been laid off in the oil industry around the world, and the rig count in the US is a tiny fraction of what it was two years ago.

An OPEC Deal Extension Isn’t As Simple As It Sounds

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It’s been six months now that oil prices have been reacting to OPEC, first to the possibility of an agreement, and then to the production cut deal itself, forged by OPEC to rebalance the market. The agreement clearly states that it is production that OPEC producers are vowing to cut, but Iraqi oil minister Jabbar al-Luaibi has recently claimed—rather emphatically—that it is exports , not production, that serve as the baseline for the cuts. Market Background Oil

Opinion: Oil Megaprojects Won’t Stay On The Shelf For Long

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One casualty of the oil price downturn could be the megaproject. For years, as conventional oil reserves depleted and became increasingly hard to find, oil companies ventured into far-flung locales to find new sources of production. Extracting oil from these frontier areas required more advanced technology and a lot more capital: Ultra deepwater, Arctic offshore, heavy oil sands, and increasingly, the Lower Tertiary. Article Source: [link].

Baker Institute expert: crude-oil production increase a risky strategy for Saudi Arabia

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A number of factors are pushing Saudi Arabia to raise its crude-oil production capacity, but the wide range of potential outcomes suggests that such an increase is a risky strategy for the kingdom and the global environment, according to a new article by an expert from Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. Most notably, a rise in Saudi crude-oil output could trigger a damaging period of global oversupply, said Jim Krane, the Wallace S. Market Background Oil

New UC Davis market-based sustainability forecasting approach concludes supplanting gasoline and diesel with renewable fuels could take 131 years

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In the paper, Nataliya Malyshkina and Deb Niemeier point out that the peak of oil production is estimated to occur approximately between 2010 and 2030, and note that all those dates are considerably earlier than their estimate of the time until renewable replacement technologies are viable in the market (around 2140). “ Obviously, our results suggest that there is a potential danger that crude oil will be depleted before it can be replaced by viable substitutes.”

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Opinion: Political Climate Shifting Against The Oil And Gas Industry

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Oil and gas companies have had a tough time over the past year trying to weather the storm of falling oil prices. Drilling oil and gas wells requires a lot of money. For companies that have seen their revenues vanish because of collapsing oil prices, access to credit is obviously critically important. Put another way, about 12 percent of all loans to oil and gas companies are rated “substandard” or worse. Article Source: [link].

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Opinion: OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Oil Strategy?

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If You’re a Free Range Oil Producer. Despite low oil prices, Saudi Arabia is maintaining its investment in its oil industry. According to an August 26 Bloomberg article , the Saudi government is seeking ways to reduce investment in 2016 “.as

Worldwatch Institute report finds global energy intensity increased in 2010 for second year in a row

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The article notes that worldwide energy efficiency had been increasing steadily until recently. In addition to technological advances, price developments play a key role in determining overall energy usage, Worldwatch notes. Global energy intensity, 1981-2010. Click to enlarge.

Not So Prolific: US Shale Faces A Reality Check

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The collapse of oil prices has forced the US shale industry to slash production costs. In order to improve the breakeven costs for the average shale well, the industry has deployed three general strategies: improving techniques and technology, such as drilling longer laterals or using more frac sand; focusing drilling on the sweet spots; and demanding lower prices from oilfield service companies. This item accounted for about 35% of the break-even price reduction.”

Opinion: Saudis Planning For A War Of Attrition In Europe With Russia’s Oil Industry

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Russia’s central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. The result is a heavier discount for Russia’s crude oil, the so-called Urals blend. Article Source: [link].

Are The Saudis About To Reveal The Best Kept Secret In Oil?

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One of the oil world’s longest and best kept secrets may finally be revealed. Saudi Arabia is preparing to unveil how much oil it holds, a closely guarded state secret that has been kept quiet for decades. Saudi Arabia often trades off with Russia—and more recently, with the US—as the world’s largest oil producer. But while it produces at similar levels as Russia and the US, it is long been a vastly more influential player in the oil world.

Morgan Stanley Warns That Rising Rig Count Could Undo The Oil Rally

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Oil is exactly such an industry at the moment. No one is sure where oil is heading, near-tem forecasts range from $20 to $80 per barrel by the end of the year, and there are just too many wild cards on the scene. It was expected, the companies themselves said they are ready to start ramping-up production as soon as prices reach some more reasonable level. As Forbes author Art Berman wittily notes , rigs don’t produce oil, wells produce oil.