2020 Fuel Economy Oil Prices Transportation 
Green Car Congress
APRIL 14, 2015
AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1
Green Car Congress
DECEMBER 5, 2012
Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. The AEO2013 reference case projects delivered energy consumption in the transportation sector to remain relatively constant at about 27 quadrillion Btu from 2011 to 2040. Growth in diesel fuel consumption will be moderated by the increased use of natural gas in heavy-duty vehicles.
Green Car Congress
JANUARY 23, 2012
Net petroleum imports as a share of total US liquid fuels consumed drop from 49% in 2010 to 38% in 2020 and 36% in 2035 in AEO2012. AEO2012 also projects that efficiency improvements mostly offset underlying drivers of growth in transportation services. Over the next 10 years, continued development of tight oil (e.g.,
Green Car Congress
DECEMBER 17, 2010
Transportation updates. Among the transportation-related updates going into AEO2011, the EIA increased the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10% to 15%, as a result of the waiver granted by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010. Transportation projections. Source: EIA.
Green Car Congress
DECEMBER 16, 2013
The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. quadrillion Btu in AEO2013, and represents the largest growth among all transportation modes. from 2012 to 2040, compared to 1.2%
Green Car Congress
JULY 2, 2013
Adam Brandt and his colleagues used historical relationships to project future demand for (a) transport services; (b) all liquid fuels; and (c) substitution with alternative energy carriers, including electricity. Their results showed great increases in passenger and freight transport activity, but less reliance on oil.
Green Car Congress
JANUARY 19, 2011
Fossil fuels’ contribution to primary energy growth is projected to fall from 83% to 64%. OECD oil demand peaked in 2005 and in 2030 is projected to be roughly back at its level in 1990. Biofuels will account for 9% of global transport fuels. per year from 2010 to 2030 although growth decelerates slightly beyond 2020.
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