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IEA: carbon intensity of global energy supply has barely changed in last 20 years; “window of opportunity in transport”

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The IEA said that this reflects the continued domination of fossil fuels—particularly coal—in the energy mix and the slow uptake of other, lower-carbon supply technologies. In 2012, sales of hybrid-electric vehicles passed the one million mark. In 1990 the underlying carbon intensity of supply was 57.1 tCO 2 /toe).

Carbon 265
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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. As a result, annual increases in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in LDVs average 0.9% from 2012 to 2040, compared to 1.2% per year, from 21.5

Oil 290
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ExxonMobil projects 25% energy demand increase between 2014-2040, 50% decline in carbon intensity; hybrids to be 40% of new car sales

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ExxonMobil forecasts that by 2040, one of every four cars on the world’s roads will be a hybrid; conventional cars (primarily gasoline-powered) will still remain most popular to 2040. The company forecasts modest gains for plug-in electric cars, with cost and functionality remaining barriers. Source: ExxonMobil. Click to enlarge.

2014 150
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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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ExxonMobil focused particularly on three groups of countries in projecting future energy trends: China and India, which are expected to account for half the growth in global energy demand because these two developing economies will lead the world in terms of population size and the pace of growth in standards of living.

Energy 252
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EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

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Among the transportation-related updates going into AEO2011, the EIA increased the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10% to 15%, as a result of the waiver granted by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010. Unconventional vehicle sales. Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.

Gas 199
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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. quadrillion Btu in 2035, as a result of fuel economy improvements achieved through stock turnover as older, less efficient vehicles are replaced by newer, more fuel-efficient vehicles. Motor gasoline consumption will be less than previously estimated.

Fuel 225
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Energy Secretary Chu says US faces a new Sputnik Moment in Chinas clean energy successes

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Advanced Coal Technologies. China is rapidly deploying supercritical and ultra-supercritical coal combustion plants, which have fewer emissions and are more efficient than conventional coal plants because they burn coal at much higher temperatures and pressures. 80% of India’s infrastructure in 2030 does not exist today.

Energy 342