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GFEI report suggests $2T savings from fuel economy improvements in ICE vehicles through 2025 can help fund long-term transition to plug-ins

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Plug-in electric vehicles are promising and sales have started, but it will take time to reach very large volumes, and will likely require strong incentives over the coming decade to reach a fully competitive point. The global vehicle fleet is predicted to double by 2050 with 80% of that growth in the developing world. per liter ($0.26/gallon

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Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

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EU climate policy aims to limit the global mean temperature increase from anthropogenic climate change to below 2 °C. They estimated the number of new vehicles required and the adoption of new technologies and fuels based on their availability and cost effectiveness under projected scenario variables such as fuel price.

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CEPS task force report identifies tightening emissions standards as key policy to hit EU 60% reduction in transport GHG; full life-cycle emissions optimal metric

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The other four are electric, and plug-in hybrid and hybrid vehicles, using electricity from low-carbon sources; hydrogen vehicles fueled from renewable or zero GHG sources; gas vehicles using natural gas and biogas; and biofuels with a positive well-to-wheel effect on GHG emissions. Focusing on one specific technology—e.g.

Emissions 210
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Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

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Car fleet composition in the EU under the different scenarios. The obvious one is increased fuel taxes, but somehow governments need to make sure the benefits of better technology aren’t wiped out by increased demand for lower-priced fuel. Click to enlarge. Jos Dings, T&E Director.

Oil 150
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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

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In other words, the automakers still have to meet the fleet-based emissions requirements through their sales mix. Its goal was and is to reduce the environmental impact of light-duty vehicles through the gradual introduction of ZEVs into the California fleet. by about 1.9%. ARB first adopted the ZEV Regulation in 1990.

2018 257
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IEA technology and policy reports outline paths to halving fuel used for combustion-engined road transport in less than 40 years

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New propulsion systems requiring new fuels, such as plug-in electric vehicle systems and fuel cell systems, are beyond the scope of this technology roadmap and are treated in separate roadmaps. Average fuel economy and new vehicles registrations, 2005 and 2008. Policy package.

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MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

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Achieving our overall goal—reducing fleet fuel and energy consumption and GHGs by three-quarters or more—will be extremely challenging. Average on-road fuel consumptions (tank to wheels) of the different propulsion systems in an average light-duty vehicle: 2010, 2030, and 2050. —John Heywood.

MIT 150