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Study finds carbon emissions benefits of reduction in oil demand depend on size of drop and global oil market structure

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New research led by Mohammad Masnadi, assistant professor of chemical and petroleum engineering at the University of Pittsburgh Swanson School of Engineering, offers a closer look at the relationship between decreasing demand for oil and a resilient, varied oil market—and the carbon footprint associated with both.

Oil 305
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DNV GL paper suggests near-term success for LNG in shipping; alternative fuel mix to diversify over time

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Well-to-Propeller GHG emissions results for marine alternative fuels. DNV GL has released a position paper on the future alternative fuel mix for global shipping. The global merchant fleet currently consumes around 330 million tonnes of fuel annually, 80-85 per cent of which is residual fuel with high sulfur content.

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MIT/RAND Study Concludes Three Types of Alternative Jet Fuel May Be Available in Commercial Quantities Over the Next Decade

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Production of commercial quantities of HRJ depends on the availability of appropriate feedstocks at competitive prices. Other key findings from the report include: Alternative-fuel production benefits commercial aviation regardless of its use in aviation. Alternative jet fuels will have a limited impact on fuel price volatility.

MIT 250
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Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

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The DOE-QTR defines six key strategies: increase vehicle efficiency; electrification of the light duty fleet; deploy alternative fuels; increase building and industrial efficiency; modernize the electrical grid; and deploy clean electricity. Vehicle efficiency has the greatest short- to mid-term impact on oil consumption.

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Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

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The competition against PHEVs in 2030 is likely to incorporate a radically downsized, boosted direct-injection engine; an automated manual or 7-8 speed automatic transmission; advanced tires with C R at 0.006 or below; a 30% weight reduction on the glider; advanced aerodynamics with C D of 0.22 Tax the fuel.” Steven Plotkin.

PHEV 150
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IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

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By contrast, subsidies for fossil fuels amounted to $409 billion in 2010. Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. —WEO 2011. Click to enlarge.

Oil 247