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The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry

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Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the other hand, however, there is the view that the price of oil is set to explode, primarily due to underinvestment in the upkeep of brownfields , development of greenfields , and exploration for new resources.

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$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

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The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion.

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Opinion: Expect A Wave Of Consolidation In The Oil Industry

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The point is, with volumes languishing (and probably poised to decline) tied to a flat oil futures price curve and with economics marginal at $60 per barrel, many E&P operators find themselves running through hedges in 2015 and still in need to finance their already reduced capital spending.

Oil 150
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IEA: Global oil discoveries and new projects fell to historic lows in 2016 while US shale surged; “two-speed” market

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Global oil discoveries fell to a record low in 2016 as companies continued to cut spending and conventional oil projects sanctioned were at the lowest level in more than 70 years, according to the International Energy Agency, which warned that both trends could continue this year. Oil discoveries declined to 2.4

Oil 150
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US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

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Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. The IEA says that in the third quarter of 2016, the US shale industry became cash flow neutral for the first time ever. Even when US oil production hit a peak at 9.7 by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com. That isn’t a typo.

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Supply Crunch Or Oil Glut: Investment Banks Can’t Agree

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This year, shale output forecasts combine with OPEC’s production cuts, geopolitical factors, and unexpected outages to further complicate supply/demand and oil price forecasts by Wall Street’s major investment banks. According to the IEA, supply could lag demand in a few years, which could lead to a surge in oil prices. “

Oil 150
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Baker Institute expert: crude-oil production increase a risky strategy for Saudi Arabia

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Most notably, a rise in Saudi crude-oil output could trigger a damaging period of global oversupply, said Jim Krane, the Wallace S. This glut could be exacerbated by future carbon taxes and other policy restrictions on fossil fuels, he said. Further, in theory, higher oil production also shortens the time horizon to full depletion.