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IEA: global electricity demand growing faster than renewables, driving strong increase in generation from coal

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Renewables are expanding quickly but not enough to satisfy a strong rebound in global electricity demand this year, resulting in a sharp rise in the use of coal power that risks pushing carbon dioxide emissions from the electricity sector to record levels next year, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.

Coal 221
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BNEF: wind and solar boost cost-competitiveness versus fossil fuels

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The levelized cost of electricity analysis for H2 2015 shows onshore wind to be fully competitive against gas and coal in some parts of the world, while solar is closing the gap. The LCOE for combined-cycle gas turbine generation rose from $76 to $82 in the Americas, from $85 to $93 in Asia-Pacific and from $103 to $118 in EMEA.

Wind 150
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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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Even as demand increases, the world will continue to become more efficient in its energy use, according to the 2015 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040. Wind, solar and biofuels are expected to be the fastest-growing energy sources, increasing about 6% a year on average through 2040, when they will be approaching 4% of global energy demand.

Energy 252
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BP Energy Outlook 2030 sees emerging economies leading energy growth to 2030; global CO2 emissions from energy well above IEA 450 scenario

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Between 2010 to 2030 the contribution to energy growth of renewables (solar, wind, geothermal and biofuels) is seen to increase from 5% to 18%. Natural gas is projected to be the fastest growing fossil fuel, and coal and oil are likely to lose market share as all fossil fuels experience lower growth rates. Coal will increase by 1.2%

Energy 210
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Evidence from glacier ice: Until it was banned, leaded gasoline dominated the anthropogenic lead emissions in South America

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Apart from combustion of leaded gasoline, major sources of anthropogenic Pb emissions include mining, metallurgical processing, and coal burning. Tobler, and Margit Schwikowski (2015) “Pb pollution from leaded gasoline in South America in the context of a 2000 year metallurgical history ” Science Advances Sci. Resources. Eichler, G.

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US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

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billion metric tons in 2015 and 40.4 Total world energy use rises from 472 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) in 2006 to 552 quadrillion Btu in 2015 and then to 678 quadrillion Btu in 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006 150
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Perspective: The Role of Offsets in Climate Change Legislation

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coal-fired power plants) would either be required by the emissions cap. Methane (CH 4 ) emissions from landfills, livestock operations, or coal mines (GWP = 25). Example: a regulated entity may purchase offsets generated through the development of a wind farm in a nation that has not established GHG emissions targets.