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US DOE progress report says 1M plug-ins by 2015 ambitious but achievable; not likely to be constrained by production capacity

Green Car Congress

The US Department of Energy (DOE) has released One Million Electric Vehicles by 2015 , a short status report on advances in deployment and progress to date in meeting President Obama’s goal of putting one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) on the road by 2015. and model 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015. Production capacity.

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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 12.1 from 2012 to 2040, compared to 1.2% The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. l/100 km) in 2012 to 37.2 l/100 km) in 2012 to 37.2

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

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Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

Green Car Congress

A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oil prices.

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Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

Green Car Congress

Because the future development of socioeconomic variables, oil price, and the carbon intensity of electricity are outside the transportation sector and uncertain, the team used a set of three scenarios for plausible ranges for their future development. 17% (plug-in hybrid electric vehicles) and 12?17% —Dray et al.

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EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

It also updated the costs and sizes of electric and plug-in hybrid electric batteries and revised downward light-duty vehicle travel demand due to the adoption of a new estimation technique. World oil prices rise in the Reference case, as the world economy recovers and pressure from growth in global demand continues.

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Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

The best thing about the Nissan is the expected price range of $25K- $34K. This is before the $7,500 federal tax credit. Those who make the decisions to forgo battery EVs in favor of plug- in hybrids only ignore a sizable market. – BMW AG’s Mini brand is testing a plug-in model in the United States.

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