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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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As the world population increases by the estimated 30% from 2010 to 2040, ExxonMobil sees global GDP rising by about 140%, but energy demand by only about 35% due to greater efficiency. The Outlook for Energy provides ExxonMobil’s long-term view of global energy demand and supply. Click to enlarge. Outlook for Energy.

Energy 252
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IEA: global map of oil refining and trade to be redrawn over next 5 years

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Profound shifts in the regional distribution of oil demand and supply growth will redefine the refining industry and transform global oil trade over the next five years, according to the annual Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) released by the International Energy Agency (IEA). But it also highlights elevated supply and demand risks.

Oil 255
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MIT and IEA reports take different views of the future of natural gas in transportation

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MIT and the IEA both have newly released reports exploring the potential for and impact of a major expansion in global usage of natural gas, given the current re-evaluation of global supplies. The IEA takes a more conventional approach, assessing the impact on the penetration of vehicles burning gas as their fuel.

MIT 299
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International study identifies 14 key measures to reduce methane and black carbon emissions; reduction in projected global mean warming of ~0.5 °C by 2050

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A study by an international team of researchers, led by Drew Shindell of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York City, has identified 14 measures targeting methane and black carbon (BC) emissions that could reduce projected global mean warming ~0.5°C °F) by 2050, as well as improving human health and agriculture.

Carbon 257
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The War in Ukraine Disrupts Trade in Both Food and Fuel

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Russia ranks second in the extraction of both crude oil (behind the United States and ahead of Saudi Arabia) and natural gas (behind the United States and ahead of Iran), and it is the sixth-largest producer of coal (behind Australia and ahead of South Africa). share in 2020, by contrast, was about 9 percent.

Ukraine 89
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Opinion: The End Of An Era: Is The US Petrodollar Under Threat?

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Recent trade deals and high-level cooperation between Russia and China have set off alarm bells in the West as policymakers and oil and gas executives watch the balance of power in global energy markets shift to the East. Other OPEC members agreed to similar deals, ensuring perpetual global demand for greenbacks.

Russia 225
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War in Ukraine: We Need to Talk About Fossil Fuels

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For natural gas, it is the world’s second largest producer , behind the United States and ahead of Iran, and its largest exporter. percent stake in the enormous Sakhalin-2 oil and gas development. Peter Kovalev/TASS/Getty Images So how did Europe become addicted to Russian fossil fuels, particularly natural gas?

Ukraine 122