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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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According to EIA’s January Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) , global liquid fuel consumption will exceed 100 million barrels per day, on average, in 2023 for the first time since 2019, then average more than 102 million barrels per day in 2024. Areas of uncertainty include Russian oil supply and OPEC production.

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Rhodium Group estimates US GHG emissions rose 1.3% in 2022

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Despite efforts to continue stimulating the US economy in the wake of the pandemic, high inflation put a damper on economic growth, which was exacerbated by a spike in oil prices as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Consequently, the US economy grew 1.9% in 2022, down from a 5.7% GDP increase in 2021.

Emissions 273
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EIA expects US motor fuel consumption to increase this summer, but remain below 2019 levels

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EIA’s annual Summer Fuels Outlook, released today with EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), expects a 15% increase in US highway travel this summer but still less highway travel than in the summer of 2019. Retail gasoline prices recently reached their highest levels in almost two years, hitting an average of $2.87/gal

2019 186
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IHS Markit: global commercial vehicle production to drop 22% in 2020 in wake of COVID-19

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IHS Markit is forecasting that global commercial vehicle production (GVW 4-8) volumes in 2020 compared to 2019 will be down 22% (more than 650,000 units) to 2.6 million units, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. The relative strength of the March data compared to February suggests many plants may be online near full capacity again.

2020 191
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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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new appliance standards and CAFE) and changes in the way energy is used in the US economy. quadrillion Btu in 2035, as a result of fuel economy improvements achieved through stock turnover as older, less efficient vehicles are replaced by newer, more fuel-efficient vehicles. Domestic oil production will rise to 7.5

Fuel 225
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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. Industrial shipments of bulk chemicals, which benefit from an increased supply of natural gas liquids, grow by 3.4% per year, from 21.5

Oil 290
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EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

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Shale gas offsets declines in other US supply to meet. The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.

Gas 199