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The Saudi Dilemma: To Cut Or Not To Cut

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It seems like just yesterday when OPEC met in 2016 and decided to cut production by 1.8 million barrels daily, including from Russia, to reverse the free fall of oil prices. A recent report from Capital Economics said Saudi Arabia has its problems but it could withstand lower oil prices without feeling too much of a pinch.

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Opinion: How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out?

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With its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, one of the mandates of 12-member OPEC is to “ensure the stabilization of oil markets in order to secure an efficient, economic and regular supply of petroleum to consumers, a steady income to producers, and a fair return on capital for those investing in the petroleum industry.” Venezuela’s Woes.

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RAND reports suggest US DoD use less petroleum fuel to deal with high prices, not count on alternatives

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However, the US military can play an important role in promoting stability in major oil producing regions and by helping protect the flow of energy through major transit corridors and on the high seas, the reports suggest. Earlier post.).

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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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Significant growth in the global middle class, expansion of emerging economies and an additional 2 billion people in the world will contribute to a 35% increase in energy demand by 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s latest Outlook for Energy report. The OECD represents the developed economies. Click to enlarge. Outlook for Energy.

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Opinion: Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Meeting

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OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oil prices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia's role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil. billion vs. $1.6 billion) and $1 billion ($2.5

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Opinion: Is Russia Plotting To Bring Down OPEC?

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Energy is the foundation of Russia, its economy, its government, and its political system. Even a casual glance at the IMF’s World Economic Outlook statistics for Russia shows the tight correlation since 1992 between GDP growth on the one hand and oil and gas output, exports, and prices on the other (economic series available here ).

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Europe/US team: transitioning to a low-carbon world will create new rivalries, winners and losers

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Nigeria or Algeria cannot do the same for their oil industry. Petro-states are compensated to transition smoothly to a sustainable economy, avoiding a last-ditch attempt to flood the world with cheap oil and gas. This drives the development of fossil fuels, including coal and shale production, as well as renewables.

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