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Belfer Center Study Concludes Reducing Car and Truck GHG Emissions Will Require Substantially Higher Fuel Prices; Income Tax Credits for Advanced Alt Fuel Vehicles Are Essentially Ineffective at Reducing Sector Emissions

Green Car Congress

Direct transportation (fuel) taxes generate the greatest reductions in CO 2 emission from transportation, achieving CO 2 emissions at 86% of 2005 levels by about 2025. While CO 2 prices are equivalent to fuel taxes, CO 2 prices at their projected levels are far too small to create a significant incentive to drive less.

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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

Green Car Congress

In addition, although many experts say that the solution to our energy and climate problems is sending the correct price signals to industry and consumers, the transport sector’s behavior is highly inelastic in that it does not change significantly in response to changes in fuel prices, at least in the range that is politically acceptable.

2018 257
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MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

Green Car Congress

Overall, we have substantial opportunities for reducing environmental and climate impacts from light-duty road vehicles. Market-based incentives should be implemented to support the US Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) LDV requirements. miles per gallon will not reflect what most new car buyers should expect to achieve in 2025.

MIT 150