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ExxonMobil Outlook: 35% growth in energy demand by 2040; hybrids to account for ~50% of new vehicle sales

Green Car Congress

Driven by increasing population, urbanization and rising living standards, the world will require some 35% more energy in 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s annual forecast report: Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040. However, by 2040, China and India are expected to increase their levels by more than 500%. Click to enlarge.

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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

Green Car Congress

Without efficiency gains across economies worldwide, energy demand from 2010 to 2040 would be headed toward a 140% increase instead of the 35% forecast in the report. As projected, that middle class expansion—largely in India and China—will be the largest in history and will have a profound impact on energy demand.

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ExxonMobil Outlook projects hybrids and advanced vehicles to account for nearly 50% of cars globally by 2040; fuel demand for for personal vehicles to peak and decline, while commercial transportation demand rises 70%

Green Car Congress

Growth is led by developing regions such as China, India, Africa and other emerging economies. This edition of the annual Outlook marks the first extension of the long-term energy forecast to 2040. Additionally, to achieve proposed fuel-economy targets, personal vehicles will need to be smaller and lighter than they are today.

Personal 408
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EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

Green Car Congress

Crude and lease condensate includes tight oil, shale oil, extra-heavy crude oil, field condensate, and bitumen (i.e., oil sands, either diluted or upgraded). oil shale), and refinery gain. Strong efficiency gains (especially in personal transportation) and conservation reduce OECD demand for liquid fuels.

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Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

Millions of EVs and PHEVs would expand the sale of electricity as an alternative to oil. No more Big OIL - think of the extra money stimulating the economy! Let the Interstate trucks and farm equipment stay on oil until the residential is done and slowly begin to move them as their fleets age out. Then we are done! Email Neal.

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