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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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quadrillion Btu in 2035, as a result of fuel economy improvements achieved through stock turnover as older, less efficient vehicles are replaced by newer, more fuel-efficient vehicles. Beyond 2035, LDV energy demand begins to level off as increases in travel demand begin to exceed fuel economy improvements in the vehicle stock.

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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

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Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

The underlying assumption is that the world will immediately use whatever oil can be pumped from the ground, and that supply is independent of demand—that is, oil exploration investments bear no relation to the current oil price or expectations of future demand. Emissions Forecasts Fuels Oil'

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Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

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The DOE-QTR defines six key strategies: increase vehicle efficiency; electrification of the light duty fleet; deploy alternative fuels; increase building and industrial efficiency; modernize the electrical grid; and deploy clean electricity. Impartial DOE research can help inform these standards. —QTR.

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Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

The Most Plausible Early Market consumers value fuel economy. Questions for the industry, Kurani said, include how do we get from where households currently are to where PHEVs provide the most benefit? Our history with alternative fuels has been truly awful.” Steven Plotkin. Steven Plotkin.

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IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

The 450 Scenario works back from the international goal of limiting the long-term increase in the global mean temperature to two degrees Celsius (2 °C) above pre-industrial levels, in order to trace a plausible pathway to that goal. By contrast, subsidies for fossil fuels amounted to $409 billion in 2010. Click to enlarge.

Oil 247
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Demand for oil ‘passed its peak’

Green Cars News

World oil demand is poised for recovery driven by emerging markets but demand from developed countries is unlikely return report finds. Demand for oil in developed countries—currently 54 percent of all oil demand—has passed its peak, the latest research suggests. Tags: Green credentials demand IHS CERA OECD Oil report.

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