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Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

The underlying assumption is that the world will immediately use whatever oil can be pumped from the ground, and that supply is independent of demand—that is, oil exploration investments bear no relation to the current oil price or expectations of future demand. Emissions Forecasts Fuels Oil'

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Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Green Car Congress

The DOE-QTR defines six key strategies: increase vehicle efficiency; electrification of the light duty fleet; deploy alternative fuels; increase building and industrial efficiency; modernize the electrical grid; and deploy clean electricity. Vehicle efficiency has the greatest short- to mid-term impact on oil consumption.

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Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

The Most Plausible Early Market consumers value fuel economy. That could yield more than 50 mpg of fuel economy—or usage of less than 300 gallons per year—and still be a lot cheaper than a plug-in hybrid or a fuel cell vehicle, he noted. Our history with alternative fuels has been truly awful.”

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IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

By contrast, subsidies for fossil fuels amounted to $409 billion in 2010. Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. —WEO 2011. Click to enlarge.

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Demand for oil ‘passed its peak’

Green Cars News

But the stronger governmental and consumer push for passenger vehicle fuel economy gains driven by energy security concerns and climate change initiatives have also led to reduced demand for oil in the OECD. Peak demand will dampen the rate of increase in dependency on oil imports.

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