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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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Significant growth in the global middle class, expansion of emerging economies and an additional 2 billion people in the world will contribute to a 35% increase in energy demand by 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s latest Outlook for Energy report. The OECD represents the developed economies. Click to enlarge. Outlook for Energy.

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ExxonMobil Outlook projects hybrids and advanced vehicles to account for nearly 50% of cars globally by 2040; fuel demand for for personal vehicles to peak and decline, while commercial transportation demand rises 70%

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Growth is led by developing regions such as China, India, Africa and other emerging economies. Additionally, to achieve proposed fuel-economy targets, personal vehicles will need to be smaller and lighter than they are today. L/100 km) by 2040. L/100 km) by 2040. —ExxonMobil Outlook. billion units. Click to enlarge.

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EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

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Crude and lease condensate includes tight oil, shale oil, extra-heavy crude oil, field condensate, and bitumen (i.e., oil sands, either diluted or upgraded). oil shale), and refinery gain. per year, as the mature economies react to sustained high fuel prices.

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Devil in the Details: World Leaders Scramble To Salvage and Shape Copenhagens UNFCCC Climate Summit

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July, 2008 : The Australian government published the Garnaut Report, a comprehensive study of the effects of climate change on the country’s economy ( earlier post ). In particular, Prentice seeks to shield Alberta’s emissions-intensive oil sands operations from the effects of emission reductions. Earlier post.).

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