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Belfer Center Study Concludes Reducing Car and Truck GHG Emissions Will Require Substantially Higher Fuel Prices; Income Tax Credits for Advanced Alt Fuel Vehicles Are Essentially Ineffective at Reducing Sector Emissions

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The dashed blue line is 2005 emissions; the scale on the right shows the percent of 2005 level. Direct transportation (fuel) taxes generate the greatest reductions in CO 2 emission from transportation, achieving CO 2 emissions at 86% of 2005 levels by about 2025. Source: Morrow et al. Click to enlarge.

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Next 10 report finds California will meet or exceed original target of 1.5M ZEVs by 2025

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The report shows that projected global ZEV adoption from 2015 to 2039 (based on the BNEF 2017 forecast) may follow an s-curve, similar to that of smartphone adoption in the US from 2005 to 2015. Choice: 150 different plug-in hybrids and pure electric vehicles are available worldwide, with that number set to rise to over 240 by 2021.

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IEA technology and policy reports outline paths to halving fuel used for combustion-engined road transport in less than 40 years

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New propulsion systems requiring new fuels, such as plug-in electric vehicle systems and fuel cell systems, are beyond the scope of this technology roadmap and are treated in separate roadmaps. Average fuel economy and new vehicles registrations, 2005 and 2008. Source: Technology roadmap. Click to enlarge.

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Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

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The EU has also made a commitment to reduce emissions in sectors outside the EU ETS, including transportation, by 10% on year-2005 levels by 2020. R&D as above plus carbon tax applied from 2015, and increased over 10 years to a maximum value of €100/t (US$131) CO 2. R&D plus fuel cell electric vehicle subsidy.

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Profile: Li-ion Battery and Pack Supplier Valence Technology

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Donaghy noted that Valence has shipped some 70 MWh of Li-ion battery capacity since 2005—equivalent to 200,000 batteries, or enough for 1,500 3.5 The two companies have had a relationship since 2005. The low energy characteristics could impede the use of iron phosphate systems in longer range plug-ins or electric vehicles.

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