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IHS Markit: global oil demand still growing in the short term despite increasing focus on EVs

Green Car Congress

With economic growth robust and prices still under pressure, indications are that the current strong global refined product demand growth will continue through to end-2020, averaging 1.1 in both 2018 and 2019, respectively, due to convergence of robust economic activity in many markets around the world. —Spencer Welch.

Oil 276
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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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new appliance standards and CAFE) and changes in the way energy is used in the US economy. Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles.

Fuel 225
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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. T he Brent crude oil spot price declines from $112 per barrel (bbl) (in 2012 dollars) in 2012 to $92/bbl in 2017. per year, from 21.5

Oil 290
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EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

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The fuel economy standards are increased through model year 2020 to meet the statutory requirements of EISA2007. The AEO2011 Reference case does not include the proposed fuel economy standards for heavy-duty vehicles because the specifics of the new standards are not yet available. Imports of liquid fuels falls.

Gas 199