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Opinion: Everyone Is Guessing When It Comes To Oil Prices

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Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oil prices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.

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Bank of America: Oil Demand Growth to Hit Zero Within a Decade, EVs the Culprit

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An executive from Ford said recently that automakers might feel compelled to invest directly in cobalt production over fears of securing adequate supply. “I Any major disruption to cobalt today would likely curb EV proliferation in the early 2020s, in turn supporting long dated crude oil prices,” Bank of America Merrill Lynch warned.

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Sasol bails on $13-$15B US GTL project, divests from Canadian shale; no new greenfield GTL

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At the company’s Capital Markets Day 2017 in Johannesburg, South Africa, Sasol management said that the company will no longer pursue its proposed ) project in the US ( earlier post ) and furthermore will not invest in additional greenfields gas-to-liquids (GTL) projects. —Stephen Cornell.

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Global investment in renewable power reached $270.2B in 2014, ~17% up from 2013; biofuel investment fell 8% to 10-year low

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billion) and South Africa ($5.5 Another challenge was, at first sight, the impact of the 50%-plus collapse in the oil price in the second half of last year. In the US there is uncertainty over the future of the US Production Tax Credit for wind, but costs are now so low that the sector is more insulated than in the past.

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