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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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Significant growth in the global middle class, expansion of emerging economies and an additional 2 billion people in the world will contribute to a 35% increase in energy demand by 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s latest Outlook for Energy report. The OECD represents the developed economies. Click to enlarge. Outlook for Energy.

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Europe/US team: transitioning to a low-carbon world will create new rivalries, winners and losers

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Nigeria or Algeria cannot do the same for their oil industry. Petro-states are compensated to transition smoothly to a sustainable economy, avoiding a last-ditch attempt to flood the world with cheap oil and gas. This wrecks the Paris climate agreement and the mechanism of voluntary emission cuts underpinning it. Resources.

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