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PRTM: Operational Gains Can Help Drive Li-ion Cost Reduction Exceeding 50% by 2020, with Plug-in Vehicle Adoption of 10%

Green Car Congress

A series of recent reports—one from the National Research Council (NRC) ( earlier post ) and another from the Boston Consulting Group ( earlier post )—concluded that an expected continuing high cost of lithium-ion batteries will dampen mass market adoption of plug-in vehicles. Earlier post.).

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BCG Report Expects Battery Costs Will Constrain Widespread Market Adoption of Fully Electric Vehicles, Absent a Technology Breakthrough; Forecasts 26% of Major Market New Cars in 2020 To be Hybrid or Electric

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As an example of cost direction, BCG forecasts that NCA cell and pack costs will decline 60-65% by 2020. That same year, the market for electric-car batteries in those regions will reach $25 billion. Given current technology options, we see substantial challenges to achieving this goal by 2020. Source: BCG. Click to enlarge.