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Ricardo study suggests global oil demand may peak before 2020, falling to below 2010 levels by 2035

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Global demand for oil may well peak before 2020, falling back to levels significantly below 2010 demand by 2035, according to a multi-client research study conducted by Ricardo Strategic Consulting launched in June 2011 in association with Kevin J. The world is nearing a paradigm shift in oil demand. Lindemer LLC.

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ExxonMobil Outlook: 35% growth in energy demand by 2040; hybrids to account for ~50% of new vehicle sales

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By 2040, hybrids are expected to account for about 35% of the global light-duty vehicle fleet, up from less than 1% in 2010. The growth reflects an expected 90% increase in electricity use, led by developing countries where 1.3 billion people are currently without access to electricity. liters per 100 km) in 2010.

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Tsinghua University provincial-level lifecycle study finds fuel-cycle criteria pollutants of EVs in China could be up to 5x those of natural gas vehicles due to China’s coal-dominant power mix

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Consumption-based power mixes and NG transmission distances by Chinese province in 2010. In regions where the share of coal-based electricity is relatively low, EVs can achieve substantial GHG reduction, the team reports in a paper in the ACS journal Environmental Science & Technology. Credit: ACS, Huo et al. Click to enlarge.

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BP Statistical Review finds global oil share down for 12th year in a row, coal share up to highest level since 1969; renewables at 2%

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Oil remains the world’s leading fuel, but its 33.1% seen in 2010, according to the newly released BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2012. China alone accounted for 71% of energy consumption growth. The fossil fuel mix continues to change with oil, the world’s leading fuel at 33.1% Coal’s market share of 30.3%

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UMTRI study finds US and China could turnover more than 90% of LDV fleet to alternative powertrains by 2050 under very aggressive penetration scenarios

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In their study, they used three different alternative powertrain/fuel models: less aggressive, moderately aggressive and very aggressive, applied across four developed economies (United States, Western Europe, Japan, and South Korea) and four developing economies (Brazil, Russia, India, and China). Source: Belzowski and McManus.

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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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As the world population increases by the estimated 30% from 2010 to 2040, ExxonMobil sees global GDP rising by about 140%, but energy demand by only about 35% due to greater efficiency. Click to enlarge. Outlook for Energy. The Outlook for Energy provides ExxonMobil’s long-term view of global energy demand and supply.

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Accenture report finds that China may scale deployment of disruptive transport technologies faster than US but that US is more likely to generate a breakthrough solution

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China could lead the efforts to roll out electric vehicles and deploy disruptive new transport technologies at scale more quickly than the United States, according to a new report by Accenture that compares the two countries. —The United States and China: The Race to Disruptive Transport Technologies.

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