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IHS Markit: US gasoline demand could be cut almost in half due to COVID-19

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A sudden drop in miles traveled by car in the US triggered by wide-spread social isolation measures will have immediate ramifications for gasoline demand. IHS Markit analysis finds that US gasoline demand could fall by as much as 4.1 The four-week average US gasoline demand for the week ending 6 March 2020 was 9.1 million units.

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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Key developments in the transportation sector that they note include: Positive for gasoline demand: Strong Chinese car growth in 2010, particularly in the first half of the year, with vehicle sales up 30% year-on-year (YoY) through the first eleven months of 2010. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth.

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Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

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In the likely case of only a gradual return to previous higher prices—which Lux calls the “cheap oil” scenario in its analysis—then electric vehicle (EV) sales will dip by 20% for a number of years, while plug-in hybrid (PHEV) sales will dip by about 14% during that same period, the research firm found. Source: Lux Research.

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ICF report finds California Low Carbon Fuel Standard can be achieved with modest changes in diversity of fuels

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Each colored stacked bar represents credits generated via low carbon fuels; the red line represents the deficits from forecasted CARBOB and ultra low sulfur diesel (ULSD) consumption. Annual balance of LCFS credits and deficits for Scenario 1. Click to enlarge. Click to enlarge.

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Hyundai Motor America Targeting Minimum Average 50 mpg for Lineup by 2025

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Since becoming the fuel economy leader in the 2008 model year (average 30.9 Key enablers are improvements and innovation in powertrains including gasoline direct injection, turbocharging, electric hybrids, plug-in hybrids, light-weight materials and design, and more. Forecasts show a 2009 model-year fuel economy rating of 30.1

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New lifecycle analysis of WTW GHG emissions of diesel and gasoline refined in US from Canadian oil sands crude

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In a new, comprehensive study, a team from Argonne National Laboratory, Stanford University and UC Davis ITS has estimated the well-to-wheels (WTW) GHG emissions of US production of gasoline and diesel sourced from Canadian oil sands. of the total crudes processed in US refineries in 2013 and forecast to reach 13.6% Click to enlarge.

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EIA Projects 5% Decrease in Fossil-Fuel-Based CO2 Emissions in 2009; Little Change in Emissions from Gasoline

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The decrease was driven by the economic downturn, combined with a significant switch from coal to natural gas as a source of electricity generation, according to the EIA. For 2008, the EIA reported a 3.2% decrease in CO 2 emissions from fossil fuels in 2008. decline in consumption), distillate fuel oil (an 8.2% Natural Gas.

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