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Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

Green Car Congress

The PODA model is a machine-learning-based model to project the US gasoline demand using COVID-19 pandemic data, government policies and demographic information. The Motor Gasoline Demand Estimation Module quantifies motor gasoline demands due to the changes in travel mobility.

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Diesel and gasoline prices drop in early 2020, but diesel drops substantially less

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Although both diesel and gasoline are made from oil, the trends in their prices do not always go in parallel. While personal driving (which uses primarily gasoline) is down greatly because of various stay-at-home mandates, commercial truck transport (which uses primarily diesel) has been substantially less affected.

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IHS Markit: US gasoline demand could be cut almost in half due to COVID-19

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A sudden drop in miles traveled by car in the US triggered by wide-spread social isolation measures will have immediate ramifications for gasoline demand. IHS Markit analysis finds that US gasoline demand could fall by as much as 4.1 The four-week average US gasoline demand for the week ending 6 March 2020 was 9.1

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ExxonMobil: diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one global transportation fuel by 2020

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Transportation fuel mix in millions of oil-equivalent barrels through 2020. Diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one transportation fuel worldwide by 2020 and continue to increase its share through 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s recently published Outlook For Energy: A View To 2040. Source: ExxonMobil Outlook. Click to enlarge.

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Former president of Shell Oil calls for aggressive action on alternative fuels to break oil monopoly on transportation

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John Hofmeister, former President of Shell Oil Company and founder and CEO of Citizens for Affordable Energy (CFAE), is joining the Fuel Freedom Foundation (FFF) Advisory Board. There will not be enough oil to stay on the path we’re on globally over the short- and medium-, let alone the long-term. We need a competitor for oil.

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BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

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The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Earlier Bloomberg New Energy Finance analysis showed that, with gasoline at $2.09 on 30 June to $61.60

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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Among the more detailed transportation projections in AEO2014 are: LDVs powered by gasoline remain the dominant vehicle type in the AEO2014 Reference case, retaining a 78% share of new LDV sales in 2040, down from their 82% share in 2012. Personal air travel (billion seat-miles) grows by an average of 0.7% quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 2.7

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