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Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

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The Mobility Dynamic Index Forecast Module identifies the changes in travel mobility caused by the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic and government orders. An effective forecast or estimate of the pandemic impacts could help people to well prepare and navigate around unknown risks. —Ou et al.

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IHS Markit: US gasoline demand could be cut almost in half due to COVID-19

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Further, according to the latest IHS Markit forecasts, the global auto industry will exerience an unprecedented and almost instant stalling of demand in 2020, with global auto sales forecast to plummet more than 12% from 2019 to 78.8 million units for 2020, with light vehicle sales forecast to post 22.4 million units.

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ExxonMobil predicts peak in light-duty vehicle liquid fuels ~2030, but ongoing role for oil in the mix

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As personal mobility increases, average new-car fuel economy (including SUVs and light trucks) will improve as well, rising from about 30 miles per gallon (7.83 However, oil will continue to play a leading role in the world’s energy mix, the report finds. l/100 km) now to close to 50 miles per gallon (4.7 l/100 km) in 2040.

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Navigant forecasts global medium- and heavy-duty alt powertrain sales to exceed 820K units in 2026

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According to a new forecast report from Navigant Research, global commercial alternative powertrain medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) sales will grow from about 347,000 vehicles in 2016 to more than 820,000 in 2026, representing a CAGR of about 9%. Medium- and heavy-trucks represent 4.3% of vehicles in the US, drive 9.3%

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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Personal air travel (billion seat-miles) grows by an average of 0.7% In developing its projections, the EIA implemented a new approach to forecasting VMT, based on an analysis of VMT by age cohorts and the aging of the driving population over the course of the projection. With domestic crude oil production rising to 9.5

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ExxonMobil: diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one global transportation fuel by 2020

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Transportation fuel mix in millions of oil-equivalent barrels through 2020. Diesel demand accounts for 70% of the growth in demand for all transportation fuels through the forecast period to 2040. About 80% of the growth in commercial transport demand will come from developing nations, according to the forecast. l/100km) today.

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J.D. Power forecasts hybrid- and battery-electric vehicles will represent 7.3% of global auto sales in 2020

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Power forecast of hybrid-, plug-in hybrid- and battery-electric vehicle global sales through 2020. million passenger vehicles forecasted to be sold worldwide by that year. million passenger vehicles forecasted to be sold worldwide by that year. million HEVs, PHEVs and BEVs forecasted to be sold worldwide in 2020, some 3.9

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