2010, Hybrid, Oil Prices and Plug

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC). Transitions to Alternative Transportation Technologies—Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles”.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

Green Car Congress

APRIL 22, 2013

According to the report, “ Forecast of On-Road Electric Transportation in the US (2010-2035) ”, this figure could increase to as high as 30 million EVs depending on advances in battery technology. The high electric transportation scenario combines the advanced battery scenario with high oil prices ($200/barrel in 2035).

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Vehicles 2012 Light

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. An explosion of hybrid sales in Japan. Click to enlarge.

Transportation

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric

Toyota Plug In

Plug In Partners

JUNE 11, 2008

Here's the story from the LA Times: Toyota promises plug-in hybrid vehicle in U.S., Japan and Europe by 2010 By Yuri Kageyama, The Associated Press June 11, 2008 TOKYO -- Toyota is introducing a plug-in hybrid with next-generation lithium-ion batteries in the U.S., Event Summary Oil prices are at record highs.

Plug-in

Plug-in Toyota Plug Nickel Metal Hydride

US DOE progress report says 1M plug-ins by 2015 ambitious but achievable; not likely to be constrained by production capacity

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 8, 2011

The US Department of Energy (DOE) has released One Million Electric Vehicles by 2015 , a short status report on advances in deployment and progress to date in meeting President Obama’s goal of putting one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) on the road by 2015. —One Million Electric Vehicles by 2015.

2015

2015 Plug-in Tax Credit Plug

Study finds government and vehicle manufacturers need to introduce long-term incentives and prices cuts to create sustainable market for ultra-low emission vans

Green Car Congress

MARCH 19, 2012

Summary of battery pack cost projections, 2010-2030. Governments and vehicle manufacturers will need to introduce long-term incentives and price cuts to create a sustainable European market for ultra-low emission vans (ULEV), according to a newly published report by Element Energy, commissioned by the UK Department for Transport.

Emissions

Emissions Manufacturer Market Price

Nissan Pushes the Plug

Plug In Partners

SEPTEMBER 25, 2006

H ere is another very encouraging development Nissan to end Toyota hybrid tie-up The Yomiuri Shimbun N issan Motor Co. will develop a new hybrid vehicle technology on its own, which would end a joint agreement with Toyota Motor Corp., sources said Friday. Compared with nickel-hydrogen batteries, which Toyota and Honda Motor Co.

Nissan

Nissan Plug Lithium Ion Toyota

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 16, 2010

million by 2015 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28% (2010-2015), according to the report. Pike Research further estimates that charging station sales in Asia-Pacific will reach more than 860,000 units at a CAGR of 91% (2010-2015) and revenue of more than $865 million in 2015.

Asia

Asia 2015 China Sale

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Bringing optimized ICEs as well as alternative fuels and powertrain technologies to market will account for €380-390 billion (US$435-446) of cumulated incremental powertrain costs from 2010 until 2030. PHEVs fueled with advanced biofuels and low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC).

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

JULY 6, 2017

The forecasters said that while plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales will play a role in EV adoption from now to 2025, puer battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) will subsequently take over and account for the vast majority of EV sales. Since 2010, lithium-ion battery prices have fallen 73% per kWh.

PHEV

PHEV Sale Lithium Ion Cars

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 9, 2010

The recall of Toyota’s Prius is causing some observers to question whether the prospects for the entire hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) and electric vehicle (EV) markets are fundamentally hurt. This immediate problem affecting the 2010 Prius relates to software that manages the regenerative and conventional braking system. Earlier post.]

Prius

Prius Toyota PHEV Hybrid

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

This comparative simulation was carried out over the period 2010 to 2030. Because of the higher levels of income and GDP resulting from the policies, the US federal budget deficit would improve by a cumulative (2010 to 2030) $336 billion, net of policy costs. Oil Imports. billion fewer barrels of foreign oil.

Grid

Grid Vehicles 2008 Oil

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 21, 2009

The Defense Appropriations Bill for fiscal year 2010, passed earlier this month by the US Senate Appropriations Committee and now under consideration by the full Senate, contains US$14.4 million), including hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and hydraulic hybrids. Carl Levin, D-Mich., Of the total, $99.5

Michigan

Michigan Lithium Ion Energy Hybrid

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

For the report, Forecast Uptake and Economic Evaluation of Electric Vehicles in Victoria , AECOM modelled the likely penetration of electric vehicles (including hybrid vehicles, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and. The analysis is based on central forecasts of oil price, electricity. Scenario 1.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

The MIT Energy Initiative (MITEI) has released a report on the proceedings—and papers that informed those proceedings—of the 8 April 2010 symposium on The Electrification of the Transportation System: Issues and Opportunities. The symposium was sponsored by the MIT Energy Initiative, together with Ormat, Hess, Cummins and Entergy.

Transportation

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil

Volkswagen Group invested €11.5B (US$12.9B) in R&D in 2014; ongoing focus on electromobility and digitalization of vehicles

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2015

The Group already offers the widest range of electromobility solutions in the automotive industry as well, with nine battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids. Winterkorn also emphasized that Volkswagen remains committed to its environmental goals, and noted that the present low level of oil prices would not change that.

2014

2014 Vehicles Automobile Climate

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

An AECOM-led study of plug-in electric vehicle economics for the New South Wales, Australia government concluded that electric vehicles are economically and financially viable in the NSW market today. The move towards a plug-in electric vehicle market also generates large savings in greenhouse gas and air pollution emissions.

Australia

Australia Market Plug-in Plug

Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

Green Car Congress

APRIL 12, 2012

Because the future development of socioeconomic variables, oil price, and the carbon intensity of electricity are outside the transportation sector and uncertain, the team used a set of three scenarios for plausible ranges for their future development. 17% (plug-in hybrid electric vehicles) and 12?17%

Transportation

Transportation Europe Climate Change Emissions

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

Among the transportation-related updates going into AEO2011, the EIA increased the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10% to 15%, as a result of the waiver granted by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 30, 2009

Still, the company will respond to a push by theObama administration for carmakers to sell plug-ins, he said. “We We are thinking about plug-in hybrids, but we aren’tthinking about commercializing one right away,” Fukui said. in Japan’s Kyoto prefecture to make packsfor gasoline-electric hybrid cars. General Motors Corp.,

Obama

Obama Honda Plug-in Plug

Perspective: Ending Oils Monopolya Blueprint for Mobility Choice

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2009

Volatility hurts us too, for as we’ve learned the price of oil can rise sharply in a short period of time. This means our economic stability is at stake because of our reliance on oil. In fact, four of the last five recessions were started by an oil price spike. [

Oil

Oil Transportation Congress Fuel Economy

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

Revenge of the Electric Car

JANUARY 21, 2009

Today, EVs are making a comeback, and Paine’s chronicling the EV’s resurrection in his follow-up film, The Revenge of the Electric Car, set to jolt theaters in spring 2010. home as “the Plug-In Mecca&# to tell this EV story right. home as “the Plug-In Mecca&# to tell this EV story right. Is this discouraging?

EV1

EV1 Los Angeles Hydrogen GM

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

Focus, Renault Megane, Toyota Corolla and Opel Astra—in their analysis, and compared EV configurations to a regular gasoline car, diesel car, parallel hybrid car and series HEV (SHEV). They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term. and series hybrid cars by more than €800/year. more distant future.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

JULY 14, 2009

They own the hybrid market and are doing quite well, thank you, so why adopt a whole new technology that’s untried on a large scale? Those who make the decisions to forgo battery EVs in favor of plug- in hybrids only ignore a sizable market. – BMW AG’s Mini brand is testing a plug-in model in the United States.

Nissan

Nissan Japan United States Gasoline-Electric

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

High-Speed Rail Unlocks Intermodal Potential Texas Excess Ford Expands Hybrid Success to Electric Vehicles ► March (17) Carbon Capture and Storage: To Be or Not To Be? The Appraisal 2010 Prius Delivers Record Mileage and Accelerates. In the future, utilities will pay you to plug-in your vehicle.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Toyota Plug In

US DOE progress report says 1M plug-ins by 2015 ambitious but achievable; not likely to be constrained by production capacity

Study finds government and vehicle manufacturers need to introduce long-term incentives and prices cuts to create sustainable market for ultra-low emission vans

Nissan Pushes the Plug

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Volkswagen Group invested €11.5B (US$12.9B) in R&D in 2014; ongoing focus on electromobility and digitalization of vehicles

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Perspective: Ending Oils Monopolya Blueprint for Mobility Choice

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Stay Connected