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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects US crude oil production to surpass 12.9 In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023. per gallon.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Gasoline prices are also influenced by gasoline demand relative to gasoline supply.

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EIA expects summer US real gasoline and diesel prices to be the highest since 2014

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that retail gasoline prices will average $3.84 After adjusting for inflation, this summer’s forecast national average price would mark the highest retail gasoline and diesel prices since 2014. Source: US Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO).

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Large differences among the recent increases in the cost of powering gasoline, diesel, and electric vehicles

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This post examines the recent changes in the costs of powering gasoline, diesel, and electric vehicles. The expectation was that the cost of electricity had recently increased much less than the costs of gasoline and diesel. The reason is that, in the United States, oil is used to generate less than 1% of electricity.

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Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

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The PODA model is a machine-learning-based model to project the US gasoline demand using COVID-19 pandemic data, government policies and demographic information. The PODA model is a machine-learning-based model to project the US gasoline demand using COVID-19 pandemic data, government policies and demographic information.

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EIA expects US petroleum trade to shift toward net imports during 2022

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In 2021, the United States returned to importing more petroleum (which includes crude oil, refined petroleum products, and other liquids) than it exports following its historic shift to being a net exporter of petroleum in 2020, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). million b/d. million b/d in 2023.

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68% of primary energy imports to US in 2018 was crude oil; 48% of US energy exports were petroleum products

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The majority (69%) of primary energy imported into the United States in 2018 was crude oil, with petroleum products and natural gas also having significant shares, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Energy Information Administration, Monthly Energy Review, December 2019, Tables 1.4a

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