Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Under the WEO 2011 central scenario, oil demand rises from 87 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2010 to 99 mb/d in 2035, with all the net growth coming from the transport sector in emerging economies. The passenger vehicle fleet doubles to almost 1.7 Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil.

Oil 247

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet 247

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 13, 2011

The report notes that these estimates are highly subject to variation and could be altered by unexpected shocks such as a major oil price spike or by planned conditions such as aggressive incentive programs. Both local government and private sector fleets can serve as a major driving force for deployment of electric vehicles.

2015 236

2015 Electric Vehicles Vehicles Sale 236

Green Car Congress

APRIL 12, 2012

Existing fleet and vehicle withdrawal were estimated using fleet data by vehicle location and age, and vehicle age-dependent retirement curves. They then estimated emissions based on fleet composition. They then posited a range of new policies to demonstrate a range of possible fleet outcomes: R&D only.

Transportation 199

Transportation Europe Climate Change Emissions 199

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

The Roadmap proposes completely transforming the US light-duty vehicle fleet into one in which grid-enabled mobility (grid-enabled vehicles, GEV) is the new conventional standard. The Inforum LIFT model is a detailed economic forecasting model, which captures, among other things, the effects of purchases and sales between industries.

Grid 186

Grid 2008 Vehicles Oil 186

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. There is pressure to make European standards even more aggressive.

Transportation 250

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric 250

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 16, 2010

National programs encouraging the growth of the PEV sector include the establishment of aggressive goals, subsidies for EV purchasers, research and development support and demonstration projects, tax incentives, regulation and standardization, and public education programs.

Asia 236

Asia 2015 China Sale 236

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. The high rate of adoption is driven by the low purchase price and operating costs of electric cars with switchable batteries.

Electric Cars 150

Electric Cars Battery Batteries Market 150

Green Car Congress

MAY 22, 2013

Extracting oil by fracking could stabilize the oil price over the next few years. The purchasing potential represented by early adopters is now being tapped by the current array of vehicle offerings for both private customers and institutional fleets. —Roland Berger Partner Thomas Schlick.

South Korea 239

South Korea Sale France Plug-in 239

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 30, 2009

The oil price shocks of the 1970s led the Brazilian government to address the strain high prices were placing on its fragile economy. Brazil, the largest and most populous country in South America, was importing 80% of its oil and 40% of its foreign exchange was used to pay for that imported oil. by Brian J.

Transportation 317

Transportation Fuel Renewable Gasoline-Electric 317

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

It’s of course way too early to tell what the acceptance is going to be and I think anybody who would try to give you projection in terms of 10 years, x percent of our fleet is going to be electric, I think they’d all be just throwing darts. Market Drivers. Early Adopters vs. Mainstream Car Buyers.

Plug-in 218

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge 218

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 25, 2009

The expected influx of large amounts of alcohol-based fuels and fuels derived from unconventional petroleum over the next decade may cause long-term world oil prices to be between 5 and 12% lower than they would be in the absence of those fuels. Adverse effects of ULS jet fuel would include higher fuel prices (by about $0.05

MIT 250

MIT Oil-Sands Commercial Available 250

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 8, 2011

The report hopefully points to the economics of EVs for fleet buyers; the conversion of the current $7,500 tax credit to benefit the consumer at the point-of-sale; the attraction of PEV attributes to some consumers; and potentially higher fuel prices to buoy consumer demand for PEVs. —One Million Electric Vehicles by 2015.

2015 210

2015 Plug-in Tax Credit Plug 210

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

The transportation sector bore the highest share of these costs, reflecting the cost of fleet electrification. reduction in fuel costs even with electricity prices doubled. and oil prices at $100/barrel, as well as shifting cash flows. away from foreign oil imports toward domestic purchases of. electricity.

Climate 262

Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric 262

Plugs and Cars

NOVEMBER 28, 2006

While priced dearly at $100,000 for the first 100 vehicles, the car’s specs are so impressive and the company so well capitalized that it received prominent coverage across the nation, including the front page of the San Francisco Chronicle. Oil prices peaked once again at over $75 a barrel. The countdown to delivery begins.

Electric Cars 100

Electric Cars San Francisco Tesla Cars 100

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2009

In this country a lot of the new cars are purchased by higher income households and a typical modest income household is driving a used car.The typical American that is buying a new car, which costs on average $28,000, isn’t currently driving a car that costs $2,000. Department of Defense and Fuel Economy. —Bill Cooke.

Congress 150

Congress 2009 Cash For Clunkers Li-ion 150

Green Car Congress

JULY 19, 2012

Very broadly, they found that an LCFS would buffer the economy against global oil price spikes, trim demand for petroleum, and lessen upward pressure on gas prices. Purchase credits from other regulated parties or use credits banked in previous years. Many options exist for meeting the standard.

Carbon 247

Carbon Oil-Sands Standards Design 247

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

The government will make direct grants to automakers (as we do, of course) and also provide “subsidies of up to $8,800 are being offered to taxi fleets and local government agencies in 13 Chinese cities for each hybrid or all-electric vehicle they purchase.”

Chinese 28

Chinese Companies Electric Cars BYD 28