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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects global consumption of liquid fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, to set new record highs in 2024. EIA also expects oil production in Canada, Brazil, and Norway collectively to grow 12% from 2022 to 2024, and also expects growth from new sources such as Guyana.

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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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EIA expects sustained global demand for petroleum products and Saudi Arabia’s extended voluntary production cuts will contribute to oil prices rising through the year. The Brent crude oil price was near $75 per barrel at the beginning of July and increased throughout the month to surpass $86 per barrel on 4 August.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that in the United States from 2008 to 2017, crude oil represented only 61% of the retail price of gasoline.

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EIA expects summer US real gasoline and diesel prices to be the highest since 2014

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After adjusting for inflation, this summer’s forecast national average price would mark the highest retail gasoline and diesel prices since 2014. EIA expects higher fuel prices this summer as a result of higher crude oil prices. Greater demand will contribute to higher crude oil prices.

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EIA forecasts rising global oil production will limit price increases

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In the June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that rising global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels (driven by OPEC, Russia, and the United States) will limit price increases for global crude oil benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). in the United States this summer (June–August) compared with the summer of 2021. —EIA Administrator Joe DeCarolis. and by 1.5%

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EIA expects US motor fuel consumption to increase this summer, but remain below 2019 levels

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts an increase in demand for petroleum products during the 2021 summer driving season as the impacts of COVID-19 diminish in the United States. EIA expects the retail price of regular-grade gasoline in the United States will average $2.78 gal last summer.

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