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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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EIA expects crude oil prices to decrease through 2023 and 2024, even as petroleum consumption increases, largely because growth in crude oil production in the United States and abroad will continue to increase over the next two years. Areas of uncertainty include Russian oil supply and OPEC production.

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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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EIA expects sustained global demand for petroleum products and Saudi Arabia’s extended voluntary production cuts will contribute to oil prices rising through the year. The Brent crude oil price was near $75 per barrel at the beginning of July and increased throughout the month to surpass $86 per barrel on 4 August.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that in the United States from 2008 to 2017, crude oil represented only 61% of the retail price of gasoline.

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EIA: US crude oil production will increase to new records in 2023 and 2024

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In its January 2023 Short-Term Energy Outlook , the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that crude oil production in the United States will average 12.4 In 2022, US crude oil production averaged an estimated 11.9 The forecast of crude oil production in the Permian increases by 470,000 b/d to average 5.7

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EIA: International demand will drive US production of petroleum and other liquids through 2050

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EIA projects that the United States will continue to be an integral part of global oil markets and a significant source of supply in these cases, as increased exports of finished products support US production. It also assumes the Brent crude oil price reaches $101 per barrel (b) (in 2022 dollars) by 2050.

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Commentary: Could falling oil prices spark a financial crisis?

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The oil and gas boom in the United States was made possible by the extensive credit afforded to drillers. When oil prices were high and production was relentlessly climbing, energy related junk bonds looked highly profitable. The situation will compound itself if oil prices stay low.

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EIA: US crude oil exports reached record levels in 2020 and remain high in 2021

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The most recent four-week rolling average of US crude oil exports reached 3.51 In 2013, the US government lifted export restrictions on minimally processed ultra-light oil. In the summer of 2015, the United States and Mexico entered into an oil exchange agreement, and the restrictions on oil exports were fully lifted in December 2015.

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