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BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

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The forecasters said that while plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales will play a role in EV adoption from now to 2025, puer battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) will subsequently take over and account for the vast majority of EV sales. BNEF suggested that only in Japan will PHEVs continue to play an important role after 2030.

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Indianapolis plans to add 425 PHEVs and BEVs to municipal fleet by 2016

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The City of Indianapolis will upgrade 425 non-police-pursuit sedans in its muncipal fleet to plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles by early 2016, cut the size of the fleet by 100 vehicles, and save $8.7 America’s dependence on oil ties our national and economic security to a highly-unpredictable, cartel-influenced global oil market.

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AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

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Assumes there are only Internal Combustion Engines (ICEs) and Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs) available, with no Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) or pure Electric Vehicles (EVs). Victorian Metropolitan Region and electric vehicle service stations that offer quick charge or battery. vehicle types (ICEs, EVs, PHEVs and HEVs).

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Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

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The current plunge in oil prices will likely negatively affect plug-in and hybrid vehicle sales in the short term; automakers such as BMW are already warning of lower sales of plug-in vehicles given the market context. Anticipated price of oil and forecast plug-in sales. Lux on the price of oil.

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Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

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Bubble chart of plausible mainstream PHEV buyers’ battery requirements (light and dark gray circles) and experts’s requirements overlaid on a Ragone plot of NiMH and Li-ion batteries. Based on the game results, battery pack requirements would be equal to or less than 2 kWh. Source: Ken Kurani.

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Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

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vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6 These include the dive in oil prices that began in mid-2014, as well as the phasing out of some local government purchase incentives. million vehicle sales in 2015 to more than 6.0 million in 2024.

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Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

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Overall, worldwide sales forecasts—and hence the related production forecasts for EVs and PHEVs—are more conservative than in the preceding survey period. OEMs experience a shortfall in profit margins if they sell a plug-in hybrid vehicle (PHEV) rather than a vehicle with a conventional powertrain. Source: Roland Berger.