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BNEF forecasts EVs to be 35% of global new car sales by 2040; cost of ownership below conventional-fuel vehicles by 2025

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According to Salim Morsy, senior analyst and author of the study, the central forecast is based on the crude oil price recovering to $50/barrel, and then trending back up to $70 or higher by 2040. It assumes that a BEV with a 60 kWh battery will travel 200 miles between charges.

Cost Of 150
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A Look at EV Charging Pricing Policy and Why It Matters

EV Connect

For many drivers there is a basic understanding of how traditional gasoline pricing functions: Oil prices based on availability and proximity in large part dictate how much a driver will pay at the pump. Pricing at a Glance Charging up your electric car at home sets a pricing baseline.

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AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

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scenarios, and the sensitivity of the model to particular factors, the analysis reveals areas where intervention may be warranted: The capital costs associated with vehicle purchase, in relation to the costs for conventional vehicles; Supply constraints in the Australian market; and. The provision of charging infrastructure.

PHEV 210
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Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

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Smart charging” of electric vehicles was. essential for reducing the cost of electrification, by raising. through automated control of charging times and levels. generation, and a major shift in load curves by smart charging. charging will reduce utility load factors and increase. to be carbon neutral. appliances.

Climate 262
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MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

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Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oil prices and oil price volatility. Increase emphasis on setting an enabling regulatory framework for EVs and measured demonstration of EV charging and pricing systems. Policy options.

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Study finds government and vehicle manufacturers need to introduce long-term incentives and prices cuts to create sustainable market for ultra-low emission vans

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Element Energy used a component-based cost model to estimate the current and future costs of conventional and novel powertrains based on peer-reviewed data—e.g., on batteries and fuel cell costs trends and the costs of vehicle mass reduction. beyond small-scale trials). Click to enlarge.

Emissions 231
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UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

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In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. The high rate of adoption is driven by the low purchase price and operating costs of electric cars with switchable batteries.