2011, Oil Prices and Presentations

$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 30, 2015

The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion.

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Climate Change

Opinion: Consumers winning with low oil prices, for now

Green Car Congress

MARCH 13, 2015

Columbia and Associate Director of the Maguire Energy Institute at the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University in Dallas says it has: “No question we’re seeing the effects of lower oil prices throughout the economy.”. decline curves eventually catch up with fewer rigs, oil supplies should start to fall.

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Dallas

Global CO2 emissions up 3% in 2011; per capita CO2 emissions in China reach EU levels

Green Car Congress

JULY 20, 2012

At 3%, the 2011 increase in global CO 2 emissions is above the past decade’s average annual increase of 2.7%. savings stimulated by high oil prices led to a decrease of 3% in CO 2 emissions in the European Union and of 2% in both the United States and Japan. combined, where emissions increased by 9% and 6% respectively in 2011.

2011

2011 Emissions CO2 Global

MIT/UC Davis professors challenge claims that ethanol production decreased gasoline prices in 2010 and 2011

Green Car Congress

JULY 17, 2012

Two professors from MIT and UC Davis have released a paper challenging the recent claims by the Renewable Fuel Association (RFA) and US Secretary of Agriculture Vilsack that ethanol production decreased gasoline prices by $0.89 in 2010 and 2011, respectively. It is strongly correlated with any trending variable.

Davis

Davis MIT Gasoline 2010

US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 23, 2016

Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. Even when US oil production hit a peak at 9.7 By the third quarter, oil prices had climbed back to above $40 and traded at around $50 per barrel for some time, replenishing some lost revenue. by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com.

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Libya Oil Nigeria

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

In 2011, the largest dollar volume for Li-ion automotive applications could come from the mini EV and EREV segment. As one example of factors contributing to that decision, a survey of projected oil prices returned values between $30 and $250 a barrel, he said.). Representative battery pack size is below each segment.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Purdue study projects that under likely adoption rates, use of biojet fuel alone will not meet aviation emissions reduction targets for 2050; the need to go above 50% blends

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 16, 2011

Uncertainty range of the aviation GHG emissions under the High Oil price scenario (the most optimistic for biojet adoption), given in a box plot depicting the minimum, quartile, and maximum values. The model uses three price scenarios: low oil, reference and high oil. Credit: ACS, Agusdinata et al.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices 2005 Fuel

EPA announces 2011 Presidential Green Chemistry Challenge Awards; green chemistry market opportunity projected to be $98.5B by 2020, about 2% of total market

Green Car Congress

JUNE 20, 2011

billion in 2011 to $98.5 The 2011 award winners are: Greener synthetic pathways: Genomatica, San Diego, Calif. Genomatica has been producing BDO at pilot scale in 3,000 liter fermentations since the first half of 2010, and is moving to production at demonstration scale in 2011. billion in 2011 to $98.5 billion by 2020.

Green

Green Market 2011 2020

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Among its many findings, the Reference case suggests that US primary energy consumption will grow by 7% from 2011 to 2040 to 108 quadrillion Btu. However, energy use per capita declines by 15% from 2011 through 2040 as a result of improving energy efficiency (e.g., quadrillion Btu in 2011 to 14.0 than in AEO2012.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

The analysis is based on central forecasts of oil price, electricity. price and carbon pollution reduction scheme (CPRS)/carbon tax policy, and known information about the historic drivers for consumers in the vehicle. However, as EV and PHEV prices gradually reach. vehicle types (ICEs, EVs, PHEVs and HEVs).

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

by subsidies that amounted to $523 billion in 2011, up almost 30% on 2010 and six times more than subsidies to renewables. The cost of fossil-fuel subsidies has been driven up by higher oil prices; they remain most prevalent in the Middle East and North Africa, where momentum towards their reform appears to have been lost.

Global

Global 2012 Energy Oil

Perspective: Government Leadership Needed for Electric Vehicles to Succeed

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 26, 2010

That’s where government comes in.only the government can help influence [change] by having a price for carbon and technical incentives. ”. Mr. Immelt’s point is that the spike in oil prices to $147/barrel in 2008 is not enough on its own to get automakers to make electric vehicles. This could be another air mail idea.

Electric Vehicles

Electric Vehicles Vehicles Los Angeles Canada

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2013

The SEIS notes that while increasing domestic production of crude oil and decreasing demand for liquid transportation fuels will likely reduce the demand for total US crude oil imports, it is unlikely to reduce demand for heavy sour crude at Gulf Coast refineries. 2012 Keystone XL plan vs. 2008 plan. Surface waterbodies crossed.

Climate Change

Climate Change Oil-Sands Nebraska Climate

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

comparable costs, raising the present average cost of. reduction in fuel costs even with electricity prices doubled. and oil prices at $100/barrel, as well as shifting cash flows. away from foreign oil imports toward domestic purchases of. reduction in fuel costs even with electricity prices doubled.

Climate

Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric

Chevron leveraging information technology to optimize thermal production of heavy oil with increased recovery and reduced costs

Green Car Congress

JUNE 23, 2011

While production costs and refining costs for heavy oil exceed that for light oil, applying information technology solutions for decision-making has provided a significant increase in the margins and profits of operations, according to Chevron engineers in a paper presented on their system earlier this year. Source: Chevron.

Chevron

Chevron Oil Oil-Sands Production

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. The production of transport fuel from waste is a nascent technology, largely in the lab and pilot stages of commercialization at present. Accenture divided the technologies into three groups: Evolutionary. Waste-to-fuel.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2013

WEO-2013 presents a central scenario (“New Policies”) in which global energy demand rises by one-third in the period to 2035, although energy demand in OECD countries barely rises and by 2035 is less than half that of non-OECD countries. million barrels of oil equivalent per day (mboe/d) in 2011 to 4.1 Gt by 2035.

Oil

Oil 2013 Energy Emissions

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

2011-25), recognizing that the transportation electrification process will evolve in stages based on the learning that occurs in the years and decades ahead. However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g.,

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Startup Siluria Technologies developing novel bio-templated catalysts for economic direct conversion of methane to ethylene; potential for transportation fuels

Green Car Congress

MARCH 7, 2011

It’s a robust technology, but you have to pay the oil price, and if you have to burn an awful lot of heat in order to enable that endothermic chemistry, if you were to care about the energy footprint of this, it’s the three pounds of CO 2 produced to make one pound of polyethylene.

Conversion

Conversion Transportation Fuel Carbon

RAND study concludes use of alternative fuels by US military would convey no direct military benefit; recommends energy efficiency instead

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 25, 2011

The findings and recommendations presented in this report are those of the research team. At present, no agency of the US government has announced plans to promote early commercial use of FT fuels derived from a mixture of coal and biomass. Bartis, Lawrence Van Bibbe (2011) Alternative Fuels for Military Applications.

Alternative Fuels

Alternative Fuels Fuel Energy Coal

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Electric vehicles will be available for customers in 2011. Just as wireless service providers offer smartphones at discounted prices, Project Better Place will offer discounted electric vehicles with usage pricing plans. Shai Agassi presented their new business model at Davos. 2) Chevy Volt (2) China (2) ECOD3.SA

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

Opinion: Consumers winning with low oil prices, for now

Global CO2 emissions up 3% in 2011; per capita CO2 emissions in China reach EU levels

MIT/UC Davis professors challenge claims that ethanol production decreased gasoline prices in 2010 and 2011

US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Purdue study projects that under likely adoption rates, use of biojet fuel alone will not meet aviation emissions reduction targets for 2050; the need to go above 50% blends

EPA announces 2011 Presidential Green Chemistry Challenge Awards; green chemistry market opportunity projected to be $98.5B by 2020, about 2% of total market

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

Perspective: Government Leadership Needed for Electric Vehicles to Succeed

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

Chevron leveraging information technology to optimize thermal production of heavy oil with increased recovery and reduced costs

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Startup Siluria Technologies developing novel bio-templated catalysts for economic direct conversion of methane to ethylene; potential for transportation fuels

RAND study concludes use of alternative fuels by US military would convey no direct military benefit; recommends energy efficiency instead

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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