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EIA forecasts crude oil prices will decline through 2023

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Global oil consumption outpaced oil production for the six consecutive quarters ending with the fourth quarter of 2021 (4Q21), which has led to persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories and significant increases in crude oil prices.

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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects US crude oil production to surpass 12.9 In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023.

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EIA: US crude oil production will increase to new records in 2023 and 2024

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In its January 2023 Short-Term Energy Outlook , the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that crude oil production in the United States will average 12.4 In 2022, US crude oil production averaged an estimated 11.9 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2023 and 12.8 million b/d set in 2019. million b/d.

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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects global consumption of liquid fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, to set new record highs in 2024. EIA also expects oil production in Canada, Brazil, and Norway collectively to grow 12% from 2022 to 2024, and also expects growth from new sources such as Guyana.

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EIA: International demand will drive US production of petroleum and other liquids through 2050

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Strong continuing international demand for petroleum and other liquids will sustain US production above 2022 levels through 2050, according to most of the cases in the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023). Eventually this trend becomes unprofitable, at which point new drilling stops.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Even a cursory look reveals that the relationship between the two sets of prices is not perfect.

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EIA forecasts US fossil fuel production to reach new highs in 2023

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After declining in 2020, the combined production of US fossil fuels (including natural gas, crude oil, and coal) increased by 2% in 2021 to 77.14 Of the total US fossil fuel production in 2021, dry natural gas accounted for 46%, the largest share. In 2020, US coal production had fallen to its lowest level since 1964.

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