Gasoline, Miles, Oil Prices and Resource

Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

Green Car Congress

JULY 18, 2020

The PODA model is a machine-learning-based model to project the US gasoline demand using COVID-19 pandemic data, government policies and demographic information. The Motor Gasoline Demand Estimation Module quantifies motor gasoline demands due to the changes in travel mobility. —Ou et al.

Gasoline

Gasoline Motor Motors Motoring

Study estimates fuel economy improvements to US light-duty vehicles from 1975–2018 saved 2T gallons of fuel, 17B tons of CO2

Green Car Congress

MAY 3, 2020

A team from the University of Tennessee and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has the fuel savings due to fuel economy improvements over the past 43 years amount to approximately two trillion gallons of gasoline. Second, they estimated fuel savings using the FHWA data on vehicle miles, fuel use and miles per gallon (mpg).

Fuel Economy

Fuel Economy Economy Light 2018

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 22, 2014

The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Carbon

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Transportation updates. Energy consumption for light-duty vehicles grows from 16.7

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

Perspective: US Needs to Transition to Hydrous Ethanol as the Primary Renewable Transportation Fuel

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 30, 2009

The oil price shocks of the 1970s led the Brazilian government to address the strain high prices were placing on its fragile economy. Brazil, the largest and most populous country in South America, was importing 80% of its oil and 40% of its foreign exchange was used to pay for that imported oil. by Brian J.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Renewable Gasoline-Electric

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

Under their optimistic scenario (OPT)—which is based on the assumption that EVs are market-competitive with gasoline vehicles, in particular after 2025—they find 15% and 47% adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2030 and 2050, respectively. —Keshavarzmohammadian et al. Azadeh Keshavarzmohammadian, Daven K.

Emissions

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

As a result, annual increases in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in LDVs average 0.9% Among the more detailed transportation projections in AEO2014 are: LDVs powered by gasoline remain the dominant vehicle type in the AEO2014 Reference case, retaining a 78% share of new LDV sales in 2040, down from their 82% share in 2012.

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

Green Car Congress

MAY 11, 2010

TGC plans to tap into its 1,000-mile utility pipeline system at key locations to separate the hydrogen from the stream through Pressure Swing Adsorption (PSA) technology for use by local fueling stations for fuel cell vehicles. High percentage of renewable energy resources, with accompanying challenges for grid stability. Earlier post.)

Hawaii

Hawaii Hydrogen GM Gas

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. Despite the projected increase in LDV miles traveled, energy consumption for LDVs further decreases after 2025, to 13.0 Domestic oil production will rise to 7.5 Motor gasoline consumption will be less than previously estimated. Click to enlarge. than in AEO2012.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

The report considers two PHEV configurations: 10-mile all electric range (PHEV-10) and 40-mile all-electric range (PHEV-40). It has a 40-mile electric range, a larger electric motor, and a much larger battery than the PHEV-10. PHEV-10s save only about 20% of the gasoline an equivalent hybrid vehicle would use, the report says.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

As one example of factors contributing to that decision, a survey of projected oil prices returned values between $30 and $250 a barrel, he said.). Anderman ran a series of net present value analyses based on a range of gasoline prices, fuel saved, and pack costs. California Air Resources Board. Click to enlarge.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Volkswagen Group invested €11.5B (US$12.9B) in R&D in 2014; ongoing focus on electromobility and digitalization of vehicles

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2015

Because they make driving safer and more comfortable, because they conserve resources and protect the environment, and because they bring together the mobile and the digital worlds. Winterkorn also emphasized that Volkswagen remains committed to its environmental goals, and noted that the present low level of oil prices would not change that.

2014

2014 Vehicles Automobile Climate

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. lower on a per-mile basis than gasoline-powered cars, depending on the future price of oil.

Electric Cars

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

gasoline in cars) to electricity in order to achieve the GHG reduction target. produced more detailed analyses, but none combines the sectoral granularity, physical and resource constraints, and geographic scale needed for developing realistic technology and policy roadmaps. reduction in fuel costs even with electricity prices doubled.

Climate

Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2013

The DOS SEIS accordingly takes a detailed look at life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions of petroleum products from Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) oil sands crudes compared with reference crudes and the potential impact the pipeline might have on climate change as well as on the future development of the oils sands resource in Canada.

Climate Change

Climate Change Oil-Sands Nebraska Climate

Study Finds Integrated Biorefinery Processes Could Be Highly Competitive With Petroleum Fuels on Efficiency and Costs, While Offering Substantial Reductions in Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Green Car Congress

MARCH 8, 2009

The RBAEF involves experts from 12 institutions, and is jointly led by Dartmouth College and the Natural Resources Defense Council and sponsored by the US Department of Energy, the Energy Foundation and the National Commission on Energy Policy. per liter gasoline equivalent ($1.37 – $2.16 per liter gasoline equivalent ($0.96

Emissions

Emissions Gas Fuel 2009

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

“Betting on Science – Disruptive Technologies in Transport Fuels” selected 12 innovations in electrification and genetically modified biofuels, as well as existing fuel sources that will have the most immediate impact on emissions and on the gasoline and diesel markets. Technologies that stretch today’s assets and resources.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2009

Limited fossil fuel resources. The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. The current price of a battery pack for just a short-range electric vehicle is between €8,000 to €12,000 he noted. Currently, cars contribute. about 7% of global CO 2 emissions.

2013

2013 Companies Gas-Electric Recharge

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g., Automakers could ramp up PEV production if consumer demand proves to be larger than expected. their longest trips, such as weekend and holiday road trips).

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 30, 2009

Honda, which began leasing hydrogen fuel cell FCX Claritysedans in Los Angeles last year, still sees hydrogen as the bestlong-term alternative to gasoline as a fuel that can cut carbonexhaust tied to global warming, President Takeo Fukui said in aninterview. in Japan’s Kyoto prefecture to make packsfor gasoline-electric hybrid cars.

Obama

Obama Honda Plug-in Plug

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

Focus, Renault Megane, Toyota Corolla and Opel Astra—in their analysis, and compared EV configurations to a regular gasoline car, diesel car, parallel hybrid car and series HEV (SHEV). All reference car configurations except the diesel use gasoline engines, because the. BPEVs with a range of 250 km (15 miles). Resources.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Green Car Congress

JULY 19, 2012

Very broadly, they found that an LCFS would buffer the economy against global oil price spikes, trim demand for petroleum, and lessen upward pressure on gas prices. Set a target of reducing the carbon intensity of gasoline and diesel by 10 to 15 percent by 2030. Create separate fuel pools for gasoline and diesel.

Carbon

Carbon Oil-Sands Standards Design

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 1, 2014

If new east-west and cross-border pipelines were both completely constrained, oil sands crude could reach US and Canadian refineries by rail. Varying pipeline availability has little impact on the prices that US consumers pay for refined products such as gasoline or for heavy crude demand in the Gulf Coast. Background.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Nebraska Oil Montana

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Click to enlarge. Electric vehicles.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

EV Driven

Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

Study estimates fuel economy improvements to US light-duty vehicles from 1975–2018 saved 2T gallons of fuel, 17B tons of CO2

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Perspective: US Needs to Transition to Hydrous Ethanol as the Primary Renewable Transportation Fuel

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Volkswagen Group invested €11.5B (US$12.9B) in R&D in 2014; ongoing focus on electromobility and digitalization of vehicles

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Study Finds Integrated Biorefinery Processes Could Be Highly Competitive With Petroleum Fuels on Efficiency and Costs, While Offering Substantial Reductions in Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

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