Green Car Congress

JULY 6, 2015

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts global annual sales of light duty vehicles will reach 122.6 Navigant expects sales of conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles will fall significantly over the forecast period, experiencing a CAGR of -6.6%. Vehicles fueled exclusively by electricity will represent 1.3%

2015 150

2015 Global Sale PHEV 150

Green Car Congress

JULY 16, 2015

New work by a team at Simon Fraser University (SFU) in Canada has found that more than one-third of Canadian buyers want a plug-in vehicle (PEV), with the majority of those (89—93%) wanting a plug-in hybrid rather than a pure electric vehicle. PEV new market share scenario forecasts (for passenger vehicles in British Columbia).

Canada 150

Canada Plug-in Plug Supplies 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 10, 2015

Navigant forecasts global annual LDV sales to grow from 88.8 Navigant expects the vast majority of growth in the LDV market over the forecast period to come from developing countries in Asia Pacific, specifically China and India. According to a recent report from Navigant Research, total sales of LDVs are expected to total more than 2.1

2015 150

2015 Light Sale PHEV 150

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 11, 2019

billion), including production projects for electrical powertrains for passenger cars and light trucks. At the start of the year, Bosch forecast sales of €5 billion by 2025 with electromobility components and systems for passenger cars and light trucks. One key to this lies in electronics and software. Earlier post.).

2018 186

2018 Gasoline-Electric Volt Gasoline 186

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emission standards and CAFE standards increase new LDV fuel economy through model year 2025 and beyond, with more fuel-efficient new vehicles gradually replacing older vehicles on the road and raising the fuel efficiency of the LDV stock by an average of 2.0% quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 12.1 Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.

Oil 290

Oil Light Energy Vehicles 290

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 25, 2016

Global energy demand will increase 25% between 2014 and 2040, driven by population growth and economic expansion, ExxonMobil forecasts in the 2016 edition of its annual The Outlook for Energy. The company forecasts modest gains for plug-in electric cars, with cost and functionality remaining barriers. Source: ExxonMobil.

2014 150

2014 Carbon Energy Fuel Economy 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 28, 2019

EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2019 projects continued robust growth in US energy production, emergence of the United States as an energy exporter, and a cleaner S electric power generation mix. This growth arises from increases in air transportation outpacing increases in aircraft fuel efficiency. trillion miles in 2018 to 3.5

Transportation 207

Transportation Energy Fuel Economy 2018 207

Green Car Congress

JUNE 13, 2013

Each colored stacked bar represents credits generated via low carbon fuels; the red line represents the deficits from forecasted CARBOB and ultra low sulfur diesel (ULSD) consumption. Apart from biofuels, increasing natural gas supplies and lower fuel pricing than diesel have renewed interest in natural gas in the transportation sector.

California 210

California Carbon Fuel Standards 210

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 22, 2010

Four California state agencies and the independent power grid operator have released a new plan and vision for California’s energy future in advance of the Air Resources Board consideration of a first-in-the-nation rule requiring that a third of California electricity come from renewable sources by 2020.

Plug-in 210

Plug-in California 2020 Transportation 210

Green Car Congress

MAY 18, 2013

The California Air Resources Board (ARB) 2013 research plan includes a project that will comprehensively characterize the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) market, with the ultimate goal of increasing consumer purchases of ZEVs. The proposed project will investigate the factors that influence sales of ZEVs in California (e.g.,

2013 236

2013 Market California Future 236

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 24, 2014

In a new study published in the journal Applied Energy , Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) researchers found that controlled charging of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) reduces the costs of integrating the vehicles into an electricity system by 54–73% depending on the scenario.

Wind 286

Wind PHEV Cost Of Power 286

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2013

Driven by increasing population, urbanization and rising living standards, the world will require some 35% more energy in 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s annual forecast report: Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040. The growth reflects an expected 90% increase in electricity use, led by developing countries where 1.3 Source: ExxonMobil.

Oil-Sands 309

Oil-Sands Energy Hybrid Sale 309

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 25, 2019

This long-term trend of Asian energy consumption to support growing economies strongly influences the extraction, refining, and transport of oil, natural gas, and other fuels. OECD electric light-duty vehicle stocks increase from 3.5 —Linda Capuano, EIA Administrator. Transportation.

Asia 220

Asia Energy 2018 India 220

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

A new study sponsored by Indiana University concludes that President Obama’s vision of one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) on US roads by 2015 will require concentrated efforts action from all stakeholders— the auto industry, federal government, the scientific community, and consumers—to be realized.

Plug-in 218

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge 218

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2013

Light-duty vehicles (LDVs) in the US may be able to reduce petroleum use by 50% by 2030, and by 80% by 2050; and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 80% by 2050, according to the newly published results of a two-year study by a committee convened by the National Research Council. Vehicles operating on electricity. Source: NRC.

Hydrogen 244

Hydrogen Oil Plug-in Fuel Economy 244

Green Car Congress

JUNE 26, 2017

Institute of Transport Economics (TØI) has calculated the energy transition time lag for motor vehicles under a number of scenarios. For light duty freight vehicles (LDVs), the corresponding milestones would be reached in 2026 and 2040, respectively, according to the same optimistic policy scenario. Fridstrøm (2017). Click to enlarge.

Transportation 150

Transportation Energy Gasoline-Electric Automobile 150

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 30, 2022

IDTechEx’s latest master electric vehicle report “ Electric Vehicles: Land, Sea & Air 2022-2042 ” finds 35.7 million electric vehicles (EV) were sold in 2021 and predicts this will rise to more than 74 million by 2030. Source: IDTechEx - “Electric Vehicles: Land, Sea & Air 2022-2042”.

Market 150

Market Electric Vehicles Vehicles Cars 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 10, 2014

Without efficiency gains across economies worldwide, energy demand from 2010 to 2040 would be headed toward a 140% increase instead of the 35% forecast in the report. Click to enlarge. Even as demand increases, the world will continue to become more efficient in its energy use, according to the 2015 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040.

Energy 252

Energy Global 2010 Oil-Sands 252

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

According to a recently published report commissioned by the Victoria (Australia) Department of Transport from AECOM, electric vehicle (EV) technology offers the state of Victoria potentially significant economic benefits by the late 2020s. Modelled vehicle sales per year in Scenario 3. Source: AECOM. Click to enlarge.

PHEV 210

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price 210

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand. —EIA Administrator Adam Sieminski.

2020 150

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. Sales of battery-powered electric vehicles are 65% lower in the AEO2013 Reference case than the year before, with annual sales in 2035 estimated to be about 119,000. Click to enlarge. new appliance standards and CAFE) and changes in the way energy is used in the US economy.

Fuel 225

Fuel Energy Sale 2013 225

EV Connect

APRIL 17, 2023

is on the fast track toward electric vehicle (EV) adoption. Can the power grid actually handle that many electric cars? Can the power grid actually handle that many electric cars? The Coming Takeover of Electric Cars EV adoption is moving quickly. The Edison Electric Institute forecasts that there will be 26.4

Power Grid 59

Power Grid Grid Electric Cars Power 59

Green Car Congress

APRIL 22, 2011

A study by researchers at the University of Texas found that in general, use of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) can lead to an increase in ozone during nighttime hours (due to decreased scavenging from both vehicles and EGU stacks) and a decrease in ozone during daytime hours.

Ozone 218

Ozone PHEV Texas San Antonio 218

Green Car Congress

MAY 16, 2012

The model estimates sales of 40 vehicle technologies, including conventional and hybrid ICE, plug-in hybrids, natural gas vehicles, battery-electric vehicles, and a range of hydrogen vehicles. Plug-in vehicle baseline of $450/kWh through 2050; Bat+ of $150/kWh by 2050, Bat20yr+ = Bat+ achieved 20 years earlier.

Hydrogen 281

Hydrogen Market Vehicles Plug-in 281

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 14, 2021

Total refined products include all production from refineries such as gasoline, jet fuel, diesel, fuel oils, and includes biofuels—but excludes natural gas liquids (NGLs). For the first time, the IHS Markit base case scenario for refined products expects total global demand in 2050 to be lower than 2019 levels.

2019 170

2019 Global Production Oil 170

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 15, 2011

With a vehicle lifecycle of around 15 years, the global electric car population might by then reach about the same total as cumulative production, some of the later EVs sold having replaced older EVs that had been scrapped, the report, “Electric Vehicles: Energy, infrastructure and the mobility market in the real world” , notes.

Global 225

Global Recharge Sale Cars 225

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

Shale gas offsets declines in other US supply to meet. The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.

Gas 199

Gas 2011 Price Energy 199

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 30, 2013

Additionally, neither mechanism would compromise the greenhouse gas reduction goals set by Assembly Bill 32. Obligated parties are upstream producers and importers of gasoline and diesel fuel sold in the state. Both options will be associated with high LCFS credit prices. In many respects, the LCFS is a first-of-its-kind regulation.

Davis 261

Davis Alternative Fuels Boston Consulting Group Price 261

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

Reflecting the current difficulties in forecasting, Anderman, who publishes an annual market forecast for the sector, said he decided not to produce the 2009 report. Dividing that forecast in to application segments—micro-, mild-, full-, and plug-in hybrids; mini-electric (e.g., Data: Dr. Menahem Anderman.

Li-ion 150

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

From the GHG abatement cost perspective, the study found that the most efficient technologies are full deployment of the E10 grade, to reach the 7% energy cap of conventional biofuels; higher advanced ethanol blends for gasoline such as E20; drop-in advanced biofuels for diesel; and hybridized powertrains, such as mild hybrids and full hybrids.

Transportation 150

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 1, 2010

The technology pathways are intended to show the different cost impacts of achieving different levels of stringency, if the industry were to place more or less emphasis on hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and electric vehicles as compared to advanced gasoline technologies and vehicle mass reduction.

Fuel Economy 199

Fuel Economy EPA 2017 Economy 199

Revenge of the Electric Car

FEBRUARY 26, 2010

“This will help us with the customers who have some trepidation about changing the paradigm from gasoline to electric,&# said Elon Musk, Tesla’s chairman and chief executive. Electric car maker Tesla Motors Inc. changing the paradigm from gasoline to electric,&# said Elon Musk, Tesla’s.

Auto 162

Auto Tesla Gasoline-Electric Porsche 162

Green Car Congress

MARCH 15, 2013

The US Department of Energy (DOE) released findings from a new project—Transportation Energy Futures (TEF)—that concludes the United States has the potential to eliminate petroleum use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by more than 80% in the transportation sector by 2050. Source: DOE. Click to enlarge. Source: DOE. Source: DOE.

Transportation 345

Transportation Hydrogen Fuel Light 345

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 19, 2017

The Review finds that the greenhouse gas (GHG) emission standards currently in place for model years 2022-2025 are readily feasible at or below the costs estimated back in 2012. An additional 78 model variants comprising hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), PHEVs, and BEVs also meet the 2020 or later standards.

Standards 150

Standards PHEV California CO2 150

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 30, 2009

Ford Motor Company and Smith Electric Vehicles US (SEV US) have mutually agreed to terminate the development project of an electric car-derived van based on Transit Connect. It was concerned that the market for electric car-derived vans would become increasingly competitive. Earlier post.). Ford and Azure. Oak Park, Mich.-based

Transit Connect 220

Transit Connect Ford Connect Connected 220

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 7, 2011

study found that German consumer purchase considerations for fully battery-operated electric vehicles (EVs) remain relatively low compared to other powertrain technologies and that most current EV offerings miss consumer’s EV purchase and ownership requirements. A Gartner, Inc. Germany and Electromobility. Earlier post.).

Germany 225

Germany Market Purchase 2010 225

Green Car Congress

JUNE 14, 2011

Plug-in hybrids dominate market penetration in 2025 under CAR scenario IV (62 mpg CAFE standard). The CAR report, the US Automotive Market and Industry in 2025 , relies on technology and market forecast data from the National Research Council (NRC) and J.D. Source: CAR. Click to enlarge. The 2010 NRC study, conducted under contract to.

Fuel Economy 199

Fuel Economy Economy Auto Industry Standards 199