Climate Change, Oil Prices, Resource and Transportation

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2013

The document is a detailed draft technical review of potential environmental impacts associated with the segment of the pipeline in the US, including: impacts from construction, impacts from potential spills, impacts related to climate change, and economic impacts. What Keystone XL would carry. Source: Draft SEIS. Click to enlarge.

Climate Change

Climate Change Oil-Sands Nebraska Climate

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

Green Car Congress

JULY 25, 2013

With prices expected to increase in the long term, however, the world oil price in real 2011 dollars reaches $106 per barrel in 2020 and $163 per barrel in 2040, according to IEO2013. In the Reference case, all the growth in liquids use is in the transportation and industrial sectors. million barrels per day.

2010

2010 Transportation Fuel Energy

CFR Report Says Energy Security and Climate Change Concerns With Oil Sands Can be Reconciled

Green Car Congress

MAY 24, 2009

A new report from the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)— The Canadian Oil Sands: Energy Security vs Climate Change — claims that prudent greenhouse gas regulations can limit emissions from Canadian oil sands while still enabling robust development of the energy resource. Tags: Oil sands Policy.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Climate Change Oil Climate

Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

Green Car Congress

APRIL 12, 2012

Transport GHG emissions in the “No New Policies” case (NNP) and the “Lowest” case (L). EU climate policy aims to limit the global mean temperature increase from anthropogenic climate change to below 2 °C. The horizontal lines indicate 60% reduction from year-1990 levels. Credit: ACS, Dray et al. Click to enlarge.

Transportation

Transportation Europe Climate Change Emissions

KPMG study identifies 10 sustainability “megaforces” with accelerating impacts on business; imperative of sustainability changing the automotive business radically

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 15, 2012

KPMG developed 3 nexuses linked by climate change to represent the challenges of sustainable growth. The 10 global sustainability megaforces that may impact business over the next two decades are: Climate Change: This may be the one global megaforce that directly impacts all others. Source: KPMG. Click to enlarge.

Climate Change

Climate Change Water Climate Global

Baker Institute expert: crude-oil production increase a risky strategy for Saudi Arabia

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 13, 2017

At home, the kingdom needs oil and natural gas for transportation, industrial production and electricity generation. Each of these sources of domestic demand is increasing, propelled by rising populations, growing incomes and subsidized end-user prices that, despite a recent adjustment, remain among the lowest in the world.

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia Oil Production Climate

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 28, 2011

Broad findings of the DOE-QTR include: DOE should give greater emphasis to the transport sector relative to the stationary sector. Among the transport strategies, DOE will devote its greatest effort to electrification of the vehicle fleet, a sweet spot for pre-competitive DOE R&D. DOE has particular capabilities in these areas.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Economy Light Fuel

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

Green Car Congress

MAY 27, 2009

World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oil prices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006

2006 Emissions Energy Oil-Sands

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

Green Car Congress

APRIL 10, 2009

A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oil prices.

Oil

Oil Standards Price Oil Prices

Refiners and Truckers Associations Challenge California LCFS in Federal Court

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 3, 2010

The California LCFS calls for at least a 10% reduction from 2006 levels in the carbon intensity (measured in gCO 2 e/MJ) of California’s transportation fuels by 2020. The regulation also levies the calculation of Indirect Land Use Change (ILUC) effects against biofuels, against the opposition of the biofuels industry.( Earlier post.).

California

California Oil-Sands Oil 2005

Researchers Suggest That Although CCS and Other Technologies Could Reduce Oil Sands GHG Emissions to Near Zero, That Strategy May Not Make Sense

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 15, 2010

Debate about the future of oil sands development is so contentious that even the name of the resource is disputed: proponents typically use oil sands while opponents use tar sands. However, this only accounts for the processing that occurs in Canada and therefore excludes much of the refining and transport emissions.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Oil Emissions Coal

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

In contrast to arguments that peak conventional oil production is imminent due to physical resource scarcity, a team from Stanford University and UC Santa Cruz has examined the alternative possibility of reduced oil use due to improved efficiency and oil substitution. Historical scenario. (A) Credit: ACS, Brandt et al.

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

They conclude that widespread electrification of transportation and other sectors is required, along with decarbonized electricity becoming the dominant form of energy supply. jurisdiction over electricity supply, transportation planning, building standards, and other key components of an energy. Subsequent work has. efficiency.

Climate

Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric

MIT/RAND Study Concludes Three Types of Alternative Jet Fuel May Be Available in Commercial Quantities Over the Next Decade

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 25, 2009

The focus of the work was on alternative jet fuels that could be available commercially in the next decade using primarily North American resources. For world crude oil prices in the range of $100 per barrel, this amounts to a price impact of roughly $5 to $13 per barrel. million bpd.

MIT

MIT Oil-Sands Commercial Available

Global CO2 emissions up 3% in 2011; per capita CO2 emissions in China reach EU levels

Green Car Congress

JULY 20, 2012

savings stimulated by high oil prices led to a decrease of 3% in CO 2 emissions in the European Union and of 2% in both the United States and Japan. tonnes per capita, despite a decline due to the recession in 2008-2009, high oil prices and an increased share of natural gas. tonnes per capita. the United States (16%).

2011

2011 Emissions CO2 Global

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 14, 2009

Dr. Ken Kurani from the UC Davis Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS) presented results from the latest in a series of electric drive consumer studies seeking to learn from consumers whether or not PHEVs are a good idea. Start talking about more than just climate change. Steve Plotkin. times as much. Tax the fuel.”

PHEV

PHEV Fuel Economy San Diego Climate Change

PBL analysis finds that resources are not depleted, but expensive; badly functioning markets and wrong policies

Green Car Congress

MARCH 14, 2011

Current high prices of food, oil and many other resources are indications of increasing scarcity. Global Resource Scarcities and Policies in the European Union and the Netherlands”, examines scarcity using a framework comprising three dimensions: physical, economic and political. Source: PBL. Click to enlarge.

Market

Market Netherlands Price Oil

DNV GL paper suggests near-term success for LNG in shipping; alternative fuel mix to diversify over time

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 29, 2014

LNG as fuel eliminates SO x emissions, significantly reduces NO x and particulate matter, and also reduces GHG emissions—although not to the levels that would be required for addressing climate change. They will then be followed by larger ocean-going vessels when bunkering infrastructure becomes available around the world.

Alternative Fuels

Alternative Fuels Fuel Gas-Electric Mariner

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2013

China is about to become the largest oil-importing country and India becomes the largest importer of coal by the early 2020s. The US moves steadily towards meeting all of its energy needs from domestic resources by 2035. Oil consumption is concentrated in just two sectors by 2035: transport and petrochemicals.

Oil

Oil 2013 Energy Emissions

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

At a high level, the report notes that there are few signs that the urgently needed change in direction in global energy trends is underway. Under the WEO 2011 central scenario, oil demand rises from 87 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2010 to 99 mb/d in 2035, with all the net growth coming from the transport sector in emerging economies.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

US Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions Declined by 2.8% in 2008; Transportation-Related Emissions Down 5.2%

Green Car Congress

MAY 20, 2009

Transportation-related emissions, which account for about a third of total energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, decreased by 5.2% Since 1990 the next largest yearly decline in the transportation sector was 1.3% Transportation sector CO 2 emissions by fuel types (1990 to 2008). Tags: Climate Change Emissions.

2008

2008 Emissions Carbon Transportation

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

2011-25), recognizing that the transportation electrification process will evolve in stages based on the learning that occurs in the years and decades ahead. However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g.,

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 1, 2014

Notable changes since the prior Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement include an expanded analysis of potential oil releases; an expanded climate change analysis; an updated oil market analysis incorporating new economic modeling; and an expanded analysis of rail transport. MMTCO 2 e annually.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Nebraska Oil Montana

GSI/UNEP conference report finds fossil-fuel subsidy reform complex and challenges sobering; ~1% of global GDP spent on fossil-fuel subsidies

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2011

The conference report summarizes the presentations and discussions of the two-day conference and includes a resource list of relevant documents and research reports. For example, at peak oil price in 2008, Indonesia was spending 40% of its budget on transport fuel—more than health, education and infrastructure development combined.

Fuel

Fuel Global 2008 International

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Cleantech Blog Cleantechblog.com, the premier cleantech site for commentary on news and technology relating to clean tech, greentech, energy, climate change and carbon, and the environment. Ontological Shock An Open Letter to Fred Krupp Report from GridEcon Conference SGS Climate Change Head on the First Carbon Credit.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

CFR Report Says Energy Security and Climate Change Concerns With Oil Sands Can be Reconciled

Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

KPMG study identifies 10 sustainability “megaforces” with accelerating impacts on business; imperative of sustainability changing the automotive business radically

Baker Institute expert: crude-oil production increase a risky strategy for Saudi Arabia

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

Refiners and Truckers Associations Challenge California LCFS in Federal Court

Researchers Suggest That Although CCS and Other Technologies Could Reduce Oil Sands GHG Emissions to Near Zero, That Strategy May Not Make Sense

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

MIT/RAND Study Concludes Three Types of Alternative Jet Fuel May Be Available in Commercial Quantities Over the Next Decade

Global CO2 emissions up 3% in 2011; per capita CO2 emissions in China reach EU levels

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

PBL analysis finds that resources are not depleted, but expensive; badly functioning markets and wrong policies

DNV GL paper suggests near-term success for LNG in shipping; alternative fuel mix to diversify over time

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

US Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions Declined by 2.8% in 2008; Transportation-Related Emissions Down 5.2%

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

GSI/UNEP conference report finds fossil-fuel subsidy reform complex and challenges sobering; ~1% of global GDP spent on fossil-fuel subsidies

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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