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EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

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World energy consumption by fuel type, 2010-2040. The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2013 (IEO2013) projects that world energy consumption will grow by 56% between 2010 and 2040, from 524 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) to 820 quadrillion Btu. Source: IEO2013.

2010 317
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BP Statistical Review finds global oil share down for 12th year in a row, coal share up to highest level since 1969; renewables at 2%

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Oil remains the world’s leading fuel, but its 33.1% Coal’s market share of 30.3% seen in 2010, according to the newly released BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2012. Fossil fuels still dominated energy consumption with 87% market share, while renewables rose fastest but are still only 2% of the global total.

Coal 261
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Study finds that dry-feed gasification for coal-to-liquids is more efficient, lower-emitting and cheaper than slurry-feed; CCS cost-effective for reduction of CO2

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Comparison of coal consumption and CO 2 emissions for co-production and separate production of liquids and power. Conventional CTL plant gasifies coal to produce a syngas which is then converted in a Fischer-Tropsch reactor to products. Even with CCS, the liquid product costs are comparable to recent crude oil prices.

Coal 231
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IEA: global energy efficiency progress drops to slowest rate since start of decade

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in 2018—the slowest rate since 2010—according to Energy Efficiency 2019 , the IEA’s annual report on energy efficiency. China continued to implement policies designed to shift households and businesses from coal to gas boilers, mainly for air quality reasons. This was slower than the 1.7%

Global 150
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BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

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If these barriers can be overcome, advanced biofuels could significantly disrupt the status quo in fuel markets. Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost. Cleaner coal through carbon capture and sequestration. BCG, November 2010).

Solar 295
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EIA: China’s use of methanol in liquid fuels has grown rapidly since 2000; >500K bpd in 2016

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Beginning with its February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA incorporated revisions to historical international liquids consumption data into the STEO’s international liquid fuels market balances. This review consisted of a closer look at the refined products markets in China, and also a sectoral analysis of energy use.

2000 150
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BP Energy Outlook 2030 sees emerging economies leading energy growth to 2030; global CO2 emissions from energy well above IEA 450 scenario

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Between 2010 to 2030 the contribution to energy growth of renewables (solar, wind, geothermal and biofuels) is seen to increase from 5% to 18%. Natural gas is projected to be the fastest growing fossil fuel, and coal and oil are likely to lose market share as all fossil fuels experience lower growth rates.

Energy 210